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BYD ELECTRONIC(00285.HK):ACQUISITION OF HIGH-QUALITY ASSETS TO OPEN UP NEW GROWTH SPACE;"BUY"

BYD ELECTRONIC(00285.HK):ACQUISITION OF HIGH-QUALITY ASSETS TO OPEN UP NEW GROWTH SPACE;"BUY"

比亞迪電子 (00285.HK):收購優質資產開闢新的增長空間;“買入”
国泰君安国际 ·  2023/10/31 00:00

We revise up TP to HK$41.66 and maintain the investment rating as "Buy". Considering the improved profitability outlook for BYD Electronic (the "Company") and the prospects for synergies from Jabil plant acquisition, we forecast 2023-2025 EPS to be RMB1.832/ RMB2.436/ RMB3.038. Considering valuation level of peer companies, we give 2024 PER of 16.0x, corresponding to TP of HK$41.66, maintaining the investment rating as "Buy". The TP represents 21.3x/ 16.0x/ 12.8x FY23-FY25 PER.

我們將目標價上調至41.66港元,並將投資評級維持爲 “買入”。考慮到比亞迪電子(“公司”)盈利前景的改善以及捷普收購工廠帶來的協同效應前景,我們預計2023-2025年每股收益爲人民幣1.832元/人民幣2.436元/人民幣3.038元。考慮到同行公司的估值水平,我們給出的2024年市盈率爲16.0倍,對應目標價爲41.66港元,投資評級維持爲 “買入”。TP 代表 21.3x/ 16.0x/ 12.8x FY23-FY25 PER。

3Q23 results in-line with expectations, and product expansion will be further promoted. Revenue and shareholders' net profit in 3Q23 were RMB35,964 million (+31.0% yoy) and RMB1,528 million (+153.4% yoy), respectively, due to further expansion in product categories and market share in supply chain of Apple and BYD. Gross margin increased by 3.2 ppts yoy to 9.7%, thanks to the improvement in capacity utilization and the optimization of business structure by increasing the revenue share of high gross margin products. As the current demand from major North American customers and parent company is still very strong, and the Company continues to break into new product through acquisition and self-built production lines, we believe that revenue and profit growth will remain strong.

23 年第 3 季度的業績符合預期,並將進一步促進產品擴張。由於蘋果和比亞迪產品類別和供應鏈市場份額的進一步擴大,23年第三季度的收入和股東淨利潤分別爲人民幣359.64億元(同比增長31.0%)和人民幣15.28億元(同比增長153.4%)。毛利率同比增長3.2個百分點至9.7%,這要歸功於產能利用率的提高以及通過增加高毛利率產品的收入份額來優化業務結構。由於目前來自北美主要客戶和母公司的需求仍然非常強勁,並且公司繼續通過收購和自建生產線開發新產品,我們認爲收入和利潤增長將保持強勁。

We expect the benefits from the Company's acquisition of the Jabil factories to exceed market expectations. At present, the Company's share in iPad assembly is already very high, and there is not much room for improvement; the future focus of consumer electronics field expansion will be on components, and the most important one currently is the metal middle frame. By acquiring Jabil's factories, the Company will become the world's second largest smartphone structural parts manufacturer. The price of this acquisition is RMB15.8 billion (US$2.2 billion), while the revenue and profit of the acquisition target in FY22 were US$4,260 million and US$143 million, respectively; the acquisition price is equivalent to 15.4x FY22 PER and 9.3x FY21 PER. Although the acquisition requires loan from the parent company and incurs interest expenses (principal amount of RMB15,422 million at an interest rate based on SOFR+68 bps), according to our estimation, consolidated profits from the acquisition will be greater than the interest expenses incurred. In addition, we believe that as this acquisition is the core strategy for future business expansion, the Company's management will personally lead the team to bring its own advantages, especially its capabilities in automation and advantages in material technology, to the acquired Jabil factories, thereby improving the production efficiency and profit margin of the factories. Thus, we believe that the long-term effect of this acquisition will be higher than market expectations.

我們預計,公司收購捷普工廠所帶來的收益將超過市場預期。目前,公司在iPad組裝中的份額已經很高,沒有太大的提升空間;消費電子領域未來擴張的重點將放在組件上,而目前最重要的還是金屬中間框架。通過收購捷普的工廠,該公司將成爲全球第二大智能手機結構件製造商。此次收購的價格爲158億元人民幣(合22億美元),而收購目標在22財年的收入和利潤分別爲42.6億美元和1.43億美元;收購價格相當於22財年市盈率的15.4倍和21財年市盈率的9.3倍。儘管此次收購需要母公司貸款併產生利息支出(按SOFR+68個點子的利率計算,本金爲人民幣154.22億元),但根據我們的估計,此次收購的合併利潤將大於產生的利息支出。此外,我們認爲,由於此次收購是未來業務擴張的核心戰略,公司管理層將親自帶領團隊,將自己的優勢,特別是在自動化能力和材料技術方面的優勢,帶給收購的捷普工廠,從而提高工廠的生產效率和利潤率。因此,我們認爲此次收購的長期影響將高於市場預期。

Catalysts: Promotion and delivery of the acquisition; mass production of more new energy vehicle products.

催化劑:促進和交付收購;批量生產更多新能源汽車產品。

Risks: The acquisition of Jabil may not go smoothly; product line expansion may be slower-than-expected.

風險:對捷普的收購可能並不順利;產品線的擴張可能低於預期。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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