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IDREAMSKY(01119.HK):UNVEILING THE BUSINESS VALUE OF PROPRIETARY TRAFFIC;SUSTAINED IMPROVEMENTS IN OPERATING MARGIN AND CASH FLOW

IDREAMSKY(01119.HK):UNVEILING THE BUSINESS VALUE OF PROPRIETARY TRAFFIC;SUSTAINED IMPROVEMENTS IN OPERATING MARGIN AND CASH FLOW

IDREAMSKY (01119.HK):公佈自營流量的商業價值;營業利潤率和現金流持續改善
国泰君安国际 ·  2023/09/01 00:00

Maintain "Buy" with TP unchanged at HK$4.85. Currently, we value iDreamSky (the "Company") at 2.3x PS ratio for 2023, and estimate a market capitalization of around HK$6.8 bn, equivalent to 36.1x P/E ratio for 2023 and 13.4x P/E ratio for 2024.

維持 “買入”,目標價維持在4.85港元。目前,我們估值iDreamsky(“公司”)2023年市盈率爲2.3倍,估計市值約爲68億港元,相當於2023年的36.1倍市盈率和2024年的13.4倍市盈率。

Overall, iDreamSky's revenue largely aligns with our and the market's expectations, while its operating profit surpassed both our and the market's expectations. With the Company's strategic focus on optimizing a range of lower-return projects and operations from 2022 onwards, a certain decline in revenue scale has been anticipated. Particularly noteworthy is the IP derivatives business, which experienced a significant 72.7% YoY decrease and has been officially divested from the Company's core operations during the first half of 2023. Additionally, the primary gaming business revenue also witnessed a 17.1% YoY reduction, contributing 95% of the total revenue, up from 93% in 1H22. Despite a drop of 18.8% in 1H23 revenue compared to the previous year, the Company's gross margin and operating profit margin have notably improved. The gross margin increased from 43.3% in 1H22 to 45.1% in 1H23, and the operating profit margin shifted from -10.9% in 1H22 to 13.7%, successfully transitioning from losses to profits and achieving operating profits that exceeded expectations. Ultimately, the Company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB40 mn in 1H23, a substantial turnaround from the RMB200 mn net loss in the same period last year.

總體而言,iDreamsky的收入在很大程度上符合我們和市場的預期,而其營業利潤則超過了我們和市場的預期。由於該公司的戰略重點是從2022年起優化一系列低迴報的項目和運營,預計收入規模將有所下降。特別值得注意的是知識產權衍生品業務,該業務同比大幅下降72.7%,並已於2023年上半年正式從公司的核心業務中剝離。此外,主要遊戲業務收入也同比下降17.1%,佔總收入的95%,高於22年上半年的93%。儘管23年上半年的收入與去年同期相比下降了18.8%,但該公司的毛利率和營業利潤率仍有顯著改善。毛利率從22年上半年的43.3%上升到23年上半年的45.1%,營業利潤率從上半年的-10.9%變爲13.7%,成功地從虧損轉爲盈利,實現了超出預期的營業利潤。最終,該公司在23年上半年實現了歸屬於股東的淨利潤爲 RMB40 百萬美元,與去年同期的 RMB200 百萬淨虧損相比有了實質性的轉機。

The Company plans to implement a stock repurchase program to boost long-term investor confidence. As authorized by the 2022 Annual General Meeting of shareholders, the Company is permitted to repurchase shares up to a maximum of 10% of the total issued shares. The recently announced share repurchase plan has a total amount not exceeding HK$200 mn. The Board of the Company believes there are ample financial resources to conduct share repurchases while also sustaining the development of the Company's business.

該公司計劃實施股票回購計劃,以增強長期投資者的信心。經2022年年度股東大會授權,允許公司回購不超過已發行股份總額10%的股份。最近宣佈的股票回購計劃總金額不超過2億港元。公司董事會認爲,有充足的財務資源可以進行股票回購,同時還能維持公司業務的發展。

We believe that the Company's in-house developed games have the potential to generate revenue growth that exceeds market's expectations, leading to a significant improvement in its profitability and cashflow in the short term. Currently, the Company's self-developed games are serving as a significant source of high-quality revenue and contributing to notable improvements in cash flow. Simultaneously, the Company's in-house user base has started playing a pivotal role in game publishing and operation, with a significant enhancement in gross margin and operating profit margin being crucial indicators. Additionally, during the first half of 2023, the active community count of Fanbook has maintained steady growth, with over 2,000 new communities added, and transaction volume surpassing the unexpected milestone of RMB100 mn. We expect that iDreamSky's long-lifecycle games will continue to generate stable revenue, while its in-house development capabilities will periodically create new sources of revenue growth for the Company.

我們認爲,公司內部開發的遊戲有可能帶來超出市場預期的收入增長,從而在短期內顯著改善其盈利能力和現金流。目前,該公司自主開發的遊戲已成爲高質量收入的重要來源,併爲現金流的顯著改善做出了貢獻。同時,該公司的內部用戶羣已開始在遊戲發行和運營中發揮關鍵作用,毛利率和營業利潤率的顯著提高是關鍵指標。此外,在 2023 年上半年,Fanbook 的活躍社區數量保持穩定增長,新增了 2,000 多個社區,交易量超過了 RMB100 百萬的意想不到的里程碑。我們預計,iDreamsky的長生命週期遊戲將繼續創造穩定的收入,而其內部開發能力將定期爲公司創造新的收入增長來源。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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