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We're Hopeful That QuantumScape (NYSE:QS) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

We're Hopeful That QuantumScape (NYSE:QS) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

我们希望 QuantumScape(纽约证券交易所代码:QS)能够明智地使用其现金
Simply Wall St ·  2023/05/23 18:43

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

我们很容易理解为什么投资者会被无利可图的公司所吸引。例如,尽管软件即服务业务Salesforce.com在增加经常性收入的同时亏损了多年,但如果你自2005年以来持有股票,你的表现确实会很好。话虽如此,无利可图的公司是有风险的,因为它们可能会耗尽所有现金并陷入困境。

So should QuantumScape (NYSE:QS) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

所以应该 量子逃脱 (NYSE: QS) 的股东们担心它的现金消耗吗?在本报告中,我们将考虑该公司的年度负自由现金流,此后将其称为 “现金消耗”。第一步是将其现金消耗量与现金储备进行比较,为我们提供 “现金跑道”。

See our latest analysis for QuantumScape

查看我们对 QuantumScape 的最新分析

How Long Is QuantumScape's Cash Runway?

QuantumScape 的现金跑道有多长?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When QuantumScape last reported its balance sheet in March 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth US$983m. Importantly, its cash burn was US$381m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of about 2.6 years from March 2023. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

你可以通过将公司拥有的现金金额除以花费现金的比率来计算公司的现金流量。当QuantumScape最后一次在2023年3月公布资产负债表时,其债务为零,现金价值9.83亿美元。重要的是,在过去的十二个月中,其现金消耗为3.81亿美元。因此,从2023年3月起,它的现金流约为2.6年。可以说,这是一条谨慎而合理的跑道长度。下图显示了过去几年中其现金余额的变化。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:QS Debt to Equity History May 23rd 2023
纽约证券交易所:QS 债转股历史记录 2023 年 5 月 23 日

How Is QuantumScape's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

随着时间的推移,QuantumScape 的现金消耗有何变化?

QuantumScape didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. Nonetheless, we can still examine its cash burn trajectory as part of our assessment of its cash burn situation. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by 24%, which suggests that management are increasing investment in future growth, but not too quickly. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

QuantumScape去年没有录得任何收入,这表明它是一家仍在发展业务的早期公司。尽管如此,作为评估其现金消耗状况的一部分,我们仍然可以研究其现金消耗轨迹。去年,其现金消耗实际上增加了24%,这表明管理层正在增加对未来增长的投资,但速度不算太快。这不一定是坏事,但投资者应该注意这样一个事实,这将缩短现金流。虽然过去总是值得研究的,但最重要的是未来。出于这个原因,看看我们分析师对公司的预测很有意义。

How Easily Can QuantumScape Raise Cash?

QuantumScape 能多容易地筹集资金?

Given its cash burn trajectory, QuantumScape shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

鉴于其现金消耗轨迹,QuantumScape的股东们不妨考虑尽管现金流充足,但它能否轻松地筹集更多现金。公司可以通过债务或股权筹集资金。通常,企业会自行出售新股以筹集现金和推动增长。通过将一家公司的年度现金消耗与其总市值进行比较,我们可以大致估算出该公司需要发行多少股才能将公司再经营一年(消耗率相同)。

QuantumScape's cash burn of US$381m is about 13% of its US$3.0b market capitalisation. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

QuantumScape的3.81亿美元现金消耗约占其30亿美元市值的13%。因此,我们敢说,该公司可以毫不费力地为增长筹集更多现金,尽管要付出一些摊薄的代价。

So, Should We Worry About QuantumScape's Cash Burn?

那么,我们应该担心 QuantumScape 的现金消耗吗?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought QuantumScape's cash runway was relatively promising. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 5 warning signs for QuantumScape (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管其不断增加的现金消耗使我们有点紧张,但我们不得不提一下,我们认为QuantumScape的现金流相对乐观。考虑到本文中讨论的所有因素,尽管我们确实认为股东应该关注公司的发展,但我们并不过分担心公司的现金消耗。另一方面,我们对该公司进行了深入调查,并确定了 QuantumScape 的 5 个警告信 (2 有点不愉快!)在这里投资之前,你应该注意这一点。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

当然, 你可能会在其他地方找到一笔不错的投资。 所以来看看这个 免费的 内部人士正在买入的公司名单,以及这份成长型股票清单(根据分析师的预测)

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

译文内容由第三方软件翻译。


以上内容仅用作资讯或教育之目的,不构成与富途相关的任何投资建议。富途竭力但不能保证上述全部内容的真实性、准确性和原创性。
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