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We're Hopeful That QuantumScape (NYSE:QS) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

We're Hopeful That QuantumScape (NYSE:QS) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

我們希望 QuantumScape(紐約證券交易所代碼:QS)能夠明智地使用其現金
Simply Wall St ·  2023/05/23 18:43

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

我們很容易理解爲甚麼投資者會被無利可圖的公司所吸引。例如,儘管軟件即服務業務Salesforce.com在增加經常性收入的同時虧損了多年,但如果你自2005年以來持有股票,你的表現確實會很好。話雖如此,無利可圖的公司是有風險的,因爲它們可能會耗盡所有現金並陷入困境。

So should QuantumScape (NYSE:QS) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

所以應該 量子逃脫 (NYSE: QS) 的股東們擔心它的現金消耗嗎?在本報告中,我們將考慮該公司的年度負自由現金流,此後將其稱爲 “現金消耗”。第一步是將其現金消耗量與現金儲備進行比較,爲我們提供 “現金跑道”。

See our latest analysis for QuantumScape

查看我們對 QuantumScape 的最新分析

How Long Is QuantumScape's Cash Runway?

QuantumScape 的現金跑道有多長?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When QuantumScape last reported its balance sheet in March 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth US$983m. Importantly, its cash burn was US$381m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of about 2.6 years from March 2023. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

你可以通過將公司擁有的現金金額除以花費現金的比率來計算公司的現金流量。當QuantumScape最後一次在2023年3月公佈資產負債表時,其債務爲零,現金價值9.83億美元。重要的是,在過去的十二個月中,其現金消耗爲3.81億美元。因此,從2023年3月起,它的現金流約爲2.6年。可以說,這是一條謹慎而合理的跑道長度。下圖顯示了過去幾年中其現金餘額的變化。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:QS Debt to Equity History May 23rd 2023
紐約證券交易所:QS 債轉股歷史記錄 2023 年 5 月 23 日

How Is QuantumScape's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

隨着時間的推移,QuantumScape 的現金消耗有何變化?

QuantumScape didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. Nonetheless, we can still examine its cash burn trajectory as part of our assessment of its cash burn situation. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by 24%, which suggests that management are increasing investment in future growth, but not too quickly. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

QuantumScape去年沒有錄得任何收入,這表明它是一家仍在發展業務的早期公司。儘管如此,作爲評估其現金消耗狀況的一部分,我們仍然可以研究其現金消耗軌跡。去年,其現金消耗實際上增加了24%,這表明管理層正在增加對未來增長的投資,但速度不算太快。這不一定是壞事,但投資者應該注意這樣一個事實,這將縮短現金流。雖然過去總是值得研究的,但最重要的是未來。出於這個原因,看看我們分析師對公司的預測很有意義。

How Easily Can QuantumScape Raise Cash?

QuantumScape 能多容易地籌集資金?

Given its cash burn trajectory, QuantumScape shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

鑑於其現金消耗軌跡,QuantumScape的股東們不妨考慮儘管現金流充足,但它能否輕鬆地籌集更多現金。公司可以通過債務或股權籌集資金。通常,企業會自行出售新股以籌集現金和推動增長。通過將一家公司的年度現金消耗與其總市值進行比較,我們可以大致估算出該公司需要發行多少股才能將公司再經營一年(消耗率相同)。

QuantumScape's cash burn of US$381m is about 13% of its US$3.0b market capitalisation. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

QuantumScape的3.81億美元現金消耗約佔其30億美元市值的13%。因此,我們敢說,該公司可以毫不費力地爲增長籌集更多現金,儘管要付出一些攤薄的代價。

So, Should We Worry About QuantumScape's Cash Burn?

那麼,我們應該擔心 QuantumScape 的現金消耗嗎?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought QuantumScape's cash runway was relatively promising. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 5 warning signs for QuantumScape (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管其不斷增加的現金消耗使我們有點緊張,但我們不得不提一下,我們認爲QuantumScape的現金流相對樂觀。考慮到本文中討論的所有因素,儘管我們確實認爲股東應該關注公司的發展,但我們並不過分擔心公司的現金消耗。另一方面,我們對該公司進行了深入調查,並確定了 QuantumScape 的 5 個警告信 (2 有點不愉快!)在這裏投資之前,你應該注意這一點。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

當然, 你可能會在其他地方找到一筆不錯的投資。 所以來看看這個 免費的 內部人士正在買入的公司名單,以及這份成長型股票清單(根據分析師的預測)

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 取得聯繫 直接和我們在一起。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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