These 4 Measures Indicate That Kimberly-Clark (NYSE:KMB) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
These 4 Measures Indicate That Kimberly-Clark (NYSE:KMB) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Kimberly-Clark Corporation (NYSE:KMB) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Kimberly-Clark
What Is Kimberly-Clark's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kimberly-Clark had US$8.62b in debt in December 2022; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$427.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$8.19b.
A Look At Kimberly-Clark's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Kimberly-Clark had liabilities of US$7.33b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$9.94b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$427.0m in cash and US$2.28b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$14.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Kimberly-Clark has a huge market capitalization of US$43.0b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.4, Kimberly-Clark uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 9.8 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. Unfortunately, Kimberly-Clark saw its EBIT slide 7.7% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kimberly-Clark's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Kimberly-Clark recorded free cash flow worth 67% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Both Kimberly-Clark's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. Having said that, its EBIT growth rate somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Kimberly-Clark's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Kimberly-Clark is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
巴菲特(Warren Buffett)曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的代名词。当我们考虑一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们注意到金佰利公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:KMB)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但股东是否应该担心它的债务使用情况?
债务会带来什么风险?
一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为一个真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是用自己的现金流。在最糟糕的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人的债务,它可能会破产。尽管这并不常见,但我们确实经常看到负债累累的公司永久性地稀释股东的权益,因为贷款人迫使他们以令人沮丧的价格筹集资金。然而,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本投资于高回报率增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。当考虑一家企业使用了多少债务时,首先要做的是把现金和债务放在一起看。
查看我们对金佰利的最新分析
金佰利的净债务是多少?
下面的图表显示,截至2022年12月,金佰利的债务为86.2亿美元;与前一年大致相同。点击查看更多详细信息。然而,由于它拥有4.27亿美元的现金储备,其净债务较少,约为81.9亿美元。
金佰利的负债状况
根据最新报告的资产负债表,金佰利有73.3亿美元的负债在12个月内到期,99.4亿美元的负债在12个月后到期。作为抵消,它有4.27亿美元的现金和22.8亿美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和高出146亿美元。
虽然这看起来可能很多,但并不是那么糟糕,因为金佰利拥有430亿美元的巨额市值,因此如果需要的话,它可能会通过筹集资本来加强其资产负债表。但我们肯定希望密切关注其债务带来太大风险的迹象。
我们通过查看公司的净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA),并计算其息税前收益(EBIT)覆盖利息支出(利息覆盖)的容易程度,来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力的关系。因此,我们考虑债务相对于收益,包括折旧和摊销费用。
由于债务与EBITDA的比率为2.4,金佰利巧妙但负责任地使用债务。而诱人的利息覆盖(息税前利润为利息支出的9.8倍)肯定会不做任何事情来消除这种印象。不幸的是,过去12个月,金佰利的息税前利润下滑了7.7%。如果收益继续下降,那么管理债务将很困难,就像骑独轮车送热汤一样。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但金佰利未来能否保持健康的资产负债表,最重要的将是未来的收益。所以,如果你关注未来,你可以看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。
最后,一家公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,我们总是检查EBIT中有多少转化为自由现金流。在最近三年中,金佰利记录的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的67%,考虑到自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这一数字接近正常水平。这种自由现金流使公司在适当的时候处于偿还债务的有利地位。
我们的观点
金佰利用息税前利润支付利息支出的能力,以及将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的能力,都让我们感到欣慰,因为它可以处理债务。话虽如此,它的息税前利润增长率在某种程度上让我们对资产负债表未来的潜在风险变得敏感。当我们考虑到上述所有因素时,我们确实对金佰利的债务使用感到有点谨慎。虽然我们认识到债务可以提高股本回报率,但我们建议股东密切关注其债务水平,以免增加。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。请注意,金佰利公司正在展示在我们的投资分析中出现1个警告信号,你应该知道关于……
归根结底,关注那些没有净债务的公司往往更好。你可以访问我们的这类公司的特别名单(都有利润增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
译文内容由第三方软件翻译。
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