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Is Xinjiang JoinworldLtd (SHSE:600888) A Risky Investment?

Is Xinjiang JoinworldLtd (SHSE:600888) A Risky Investment?

新疆聯合環球股份有限公司 (SHE: 600888) 是否有風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/02/24 12:17

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Xinjiang Joinworld Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600888) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

馬克斯説得很好,他不是擔心股價波動,而是我擔心的是永久虧損的可能性……我認識的每個實際投資者都擔心。當你考察一家公司的風險有多大時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因為當一家企業倒閉時,債務往往會涉及到它。我們可以看到新疆聯合世界股份有限公司。(上海證券交易所:600888)確實在其業務中使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當一家企業無法輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他債務就會變得有風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是通過以有吸引力的價格籌集資本。如果情況真的變得很糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東的股份,才能控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司對債務管理得相當好--並對自己有利。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水平。

View our latest analysis for Xinjiang JoinworldLtd

查看我們對新疆聯合世界有限公司的最新分析

What Is Xinjiang JoinworldLtd's Debt?

新疆聯合世界股份有限公司的債務是什麼?

As you can see below, Xinjiang JoinworldLtd had CN¥3.63b of debt at September 2022, down from CN¥4.33b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥2.08b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.55b.

如下所示,截至2022年9月,新疆聯合世界有限公司的債務為人民幣36.3億元,低於一年前的人民幣43.3億元。然而,它確實有20.8億加元的現金來抵消這一點,導致淨債務約為15.5億加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600888 Debt to Equity History February 24th 2023
上證綜指:600888債轉股歷史2023年2月24日

How Healthy Is Xinjiang JoinworldLtd's Balance Sheet?

新疆聯合世界股份有限公司的資產負債表健康程度如何?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Xinjiang JoinworldLtd had liabilities of CN¥3.53b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.75b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.08b and CN¥1.58b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.62b.

從最新的資產負債表可以看出,新疆聯合世界股份有限公司有35.3億元的負債在一年內到期,超過一年的負債有27.5億元到期。另一方面,有20.8億元人民幣的現金和15.8億元人民幣的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債比現金和(近期)應收賬款之和高出26.2億元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Xinjiang JoinworldLtd is worth CN¥12.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

這一赤字並不是那麼糟糕,因為新疆聯合世界股份有限公司價值人民幣124億元,因此如果需要的話,可能會籌集到足夠的資本來支撐其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們絕對應該仔細檢查它是否能夠在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們債務相對於收益的水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA),第二個是其息税前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息覆蓋)的多少倍。這樣,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量,也考慮了為其支付的利率。

Xinjiang JoinworldLtd has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.1. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. On top of that, Xinjiang JoinworldLtd grew its EBIT by 69% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Xinjiang JoinworldLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

新疆聯合世界有限公司的債務與EBITDA之比較低,僅為1.1。但真正酷的是,在過去的一年裏,它實際上設法獲得了比支付更多的利息。因此,毫無疑問,這家公司可以在保持冷靜的同時承擔債務。最重要的是,新疆聯合世界股份有限公司在過去12個月中息税前利潤增長了69%,這一增長將使其更容易處理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但你不能完全孤立地看待債務,因為新疆聯合世界有限公司需要盈利來償還債務。因此,如果你熱衷於瞭解更多關於它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Xinjiang JoinworldLtd recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 82% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最後,儘管税務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,有必要檢查這筆息税前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去的三年裏,新疆聯合世界有限公司錄得相當於息税前利潤82%的自由現金流,這一數字比我們通常預期的要好。這使它處於有利的地位,如果需要的話,它可以償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Xinjiang JoinworldLtd's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Overall, we don't think Xinjiang JoinworldLtd is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Xinjiang JoinworldLtd .

令人高興的是,新疆聯合世界股份有限公司令人印象深刻的利息覆蓋意味着它在債務上佔據了上風。這只是好消息的開始,因為它將息税前利潤轉換為自由現金流也非常令人鼓舞。總體而言,我們認為新疆聯合世界股份有限公司沒有承擔任何不良風險,因為它的債務負擔似乎不大。因此,我們並不擔心在資產負債表上使用一點槓桿。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。為此,您應該意識到1個警告標誌我們已經發現了新疆聯合世界有限公司。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資於可以在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的企業,那麼看看這個免費資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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