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Investors in AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (SHSE:600760) Have Made a Splendid Return of 266% Over the Past Five Years

Investors in AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (SHSE:600760) Have Made a Splendid Return of 266% Over the Past Five Years

在过去五年中,中航工业沈阳飞机(SHSE: 600760)的投资者取得了266%的丰厚回报
Simply Wall St ·  2023/02/07 08:31

It hasn't been the best quarter for AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Company Limited (SHSE:600760) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 11% in that time. But that doesn't change the fact that shareholders have received really good returns over the last five years. Indeed, the share price is up an impressive 260% in that time. So while it's never fun to see a share price fall, it's important to look at a longer time horizon. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.

这不是最好的季度 中航工业沈阳飞机有限公司 (SHSE: 600760)的股东,因为那段时间股价下跌了11%。但这并不能改变股东在过去五年中获得了非常好的回报这一事实。事实上,在那段时间里,股价上涨了令人印象深刻的260%。因此,虽然看到股价下跌从来都不是一件好玩的事情,但重要的是要看更长的时间范围。只有时间才能证明目前股价中是否仍然反映出过多的乐观情绪。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在也值得一看公司的基本面,因为这将有助于我们确定长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

See our latest analysis for AVIC Shenyang Aircraft

查看我们对中航工业沈阳飞机的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Over half a decade, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft managed to grow its earnings per share at 84% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 29% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company. Of course, with a P/E ratio of 58.26, the market remains optimistic.

在过去的五年中,中航工业沈阳飞机成功地将其每股收益增长到每年84%。这种每股收益的增长高于股价平均每年增长29%。因此,市场似乎对该公司变得相对悲观了。当然,市盈率为58.26,市场仍然乐观。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600760 Earnings Per Share Growth February 7th 2023
SHSE: 600760 2023 年 2 月 7 日每股收益增长

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of AVIC Shenyang Aircraft's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。一直值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。查看这张中航工业沈阳飞机收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft's TSR for the last 5 years was 266%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。TSR纳入了任何分拆或折扣资本筹集的价值以及任何股息,前提是股息是再投资的。可以说,TSR更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,中航工业沈阳飞机过去5年的股东总回报率为266%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that AVIC Shenyang Aircraft shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 17% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 30% a year, is even better. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for AVIC Shenyang Aircraft that you should be aware of.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,中航工业沈阳飞机股东在一年内获得了17%的股东总回报。这确实包括股息。话虽如此,每年30%的五年期股东总回报率甚至更好。潜在买家可能会觉得他们错过了机会,这是可以理解的,但业务总有可能仍在全力以赴。我觉得从长远来看股价作为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们也需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经确定了 中航工业沈阳飞机有 1 个警告标志 你应该知道的。

But note: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意: 中航工业沈阳飞机可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以来看看这个 免费的 过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。

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