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Investors in China Merchants Securities (SHSE:600999) have unfortunately lost 36% over the last year

Investors in China Merchants Securities (SHSE:600999) have unfortunately lost 36% over the last year

招商證券證券(上海證券交易所代碼:600999)的投資者在過去一年中不幸損失了36%
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/26 08:36

The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. Unfortunately the China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600999) share price slid 37% over twelve months. That's well below the market decline of 17%. However, the longer term returns haven't been so bad, with the stock down 18% in the last three years. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 20% in the last 90 days. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 15% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

從上漲的市場中獲益的最簡單方式是購買指數基金。雖然個別股票可能是大贏家,但更多的股票無法產生令人滿意的回報。不幸的是,招商證券證券股份有限公司。(上海證券交易所:600999)股價在12個月內下滑了37%。這遠低於17%的市場跌幅。然而,長期回報並沒有那麼糟糕,該股在過去三年裏下跌了18%。股東們最近的表現更加艱難,股價在過去90天裏下跌了20%。當然,在此期間,這種股價走勢很可能受到了大盤15%跌幅的影響。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由於股東在較長期內下跌,讓我們看看這段時間的基本基本面,看看它們是否與回報一致。

View our latest analysis for China Merchants Securities

查看我們對招商證券證券的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the China Merchants Securities share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 0.3%. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.

不幸的是,在招商證券證券股價下跌的12個月裏,它的每股收益(EPS)實際上提高了0.3%。可能是股價之前被過度炒作了。

It seems quite likely that the market was expecting higher growth from the stock. But other metrics might shed some light on why the share price is down.

市場似乎很有可能期待該股實現更高的增長。但其他指標可能會為股價下跌的原因提供一些線索。

The fact that the dividend has fallen is probably weighing on the share price, as it implies some form of business stress.

股息下降的事實可能正在拖累股價,因為這意味着某種形式的商業壓力。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看具體數字)。

SHSE:600999 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 26th 2022
上海證交所:600999的收益和收入增長2022年5月26日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

資產負債表的強健至關重要。也許很值得一看我們的免費報告其財務狀況如何隨着時間的推移而發生變化。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 17% in the twelve months, China Merchants Securities shareholders did even worse, losing 36% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 0.2% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with China Merchants Securities (including 1 which is significant) .

雖然大盤在過去12個月裏損失了約17%,但招商證券證券股東的表現更糟,損失了36%(甚至包括股息)。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本面的發展。令人遺憾的是,去年的業績為糟糕的表現畫上了句號,股東們在五年內面臨着每年0.2%的總虧損。我們意識到,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾説過,投資者應該“在街上血淋淋的時候買入”,但我們警告投資者,首先應該確保他們購買的是一家高質量的企業。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。為此,您應該瞭解3個警示標誌我們已經發現了招商證券證券(包括1家意義重大的公司)。

But note: China Merchants Securities may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:招商證券證券可能不是最值得買入的股票。所以讓我們來看看這個免費過去有盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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