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AMC Stock: Why it’s Time to Bail Right Now

AMC Stock: Why it’s Time to Bail Right Now

AMC股票:为什么现在是时候出手了
InvestorPlace ·  2022/05/20 23:09

Meme momentum is fading rapidly forAMC Entertainment(AMC) and AMC stock.Positive sentiment alone accounted for AMC's price rise.Investors should take this opportunity to bail from AMC now.

米姆的势头正在迅速消退AMC娱乐公司(AMC)和AMC股票。乐观情绪本身就是AMC股价上涨的原因。投资者现在应该抓住这个机会从AMC买入。

Investors may cite improving movie attendance as a reason to buyAMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) stock. At the same time, they are shunningNetflix(NASDAQ:NFLX) andRoku(NASDAQ:ROKU). People moved on from the stay-at-home lifestyle of 2020 and 2021. This year, going out will include watching movies in a theatre. Does this mean AMC's stock price will rise with the favorable trend?

投资者可能会将观影人数的提高作为买入的一个理由AMC娱乐公司(纽约证券交易所:AMC)股票。与此同时,他们也在回避网飞(纳斯达克:NFLX)和罗库(纳斯达克:罗库)。人们摆脱了2020年和2021年的在家生活方式。今年,外出将包括在剧院里看电影。这是否意味着AMC的股价将随着有利的趋势而上涨?

Investors should dig into AMC's latest quarterly report first. The company has several red flags that undermine the bullish thesis.

投资者应该先深入研读AMC的最新季度报告。该公司有几个危险信号,削弱了看涨观点。

Meme Momentum for AMC Stock Fading

AMC股票消退的表情包动量

Meme investing tried, but failed several times to come back. Most recently,GameStop(NYSE:GME)double-bottomed at $80 in March and rose to over $180 to then fall back to $80. AMC stock also rallied to over $30 in that time. However, it recently closed at $11.81.

米姆投资尝试了几次,但都以失败告终。最近,游戏停止(纽约证券交易所:GME)在3月份跌至80美元的双底,然后升至180美元以上,然后回落至80美元。在此期间,AMC的股价也上涨到了30美元以上。不过,最近收盘价为11.81美元。

Meme investing is synonymous with momentum investing. The stock depended on buying momentum for the rallies. Those who sold into the rally profited the most. Anyone too slow to sell is largely holding losses. Fundamentals from its quarterly report are questionable.

表情包投资是动量投资的同义词。该股依赖于反弹的买入势头。那些在反弹中抛售股票的人获利最多。任何卖得太慢的人都在很大程度上蒙受损失。该公司季度报告的基本面是值得怀疑的。

Quarterly Loss Erasing Positive Sentiment

季度亏损抹去积极情绪

In the first quarter, AMC posted non-GAAP earnings per share loss of 52 cents. Revenue rose by 429.8% year-over-year to $785.7 million. Those figures suggest that AMC will need to sustain its revenue growth to achieve break-even profits. In the first quarter, AMC reported an attendance of 39,075,000 from average screens of 10,099.

第一季度,AMC公布的非GAAP每股收益亏损52美分。营收同比增长429.8%,达到7.857亿美元。这些数字表明,AMC将需要保持收入增长,才能实现盈亏平衡利润。第一季度,AMC报告的上座率为39,075,000,而平均银幕数为10,099。

At around 3,900 attendance per screen in the quarter, the theatre chain has a long way to go. This number seems too low for a company whose market capitalization is $6.72 billion. The bear market is especially damaging for technology stocks. Companies with a high price-to-sales ratio fell sharply from their peak.

该季度每个银幕的上座率约为3900人次,这家连锁影院还有很长的路要走。对于一家市值67.2亿美元的公司来说,这个数字似乎太低了。熊市对科技股的损害尤其严重。市销率较高的公司从巅峰时期大幅下滑。

In the chart above created by Stock Rover, AMC's moving average convergence divergence is bearish. The faster-moving blue line crossed the slower-moving green line, which is a sell signal.

在上面由Stock Rover创建的图表中,AMC的移动平均趋同背离是看跌的。移动较快的蓝线越过移动较慢的绿线,这是卖出信号。

Shareholders who bought AMC stock in the last two years may zoom out of the stock chart. From late 2018 to Jan. 1, 2021, AMC shares could not break a downtrend. It traded at below $2.50 before Reddit's r/WallStreetBets added AMC Entertainment to the meme stock craze.

过去两年买入AMC股票的股东可能会缩小股票图表。从2018年末到2021年1月1日,AMC的股价未能打破下跌趋势。在Reddit的r/WallStreetBets将AMC Entertainment加入Meme股票热潮之前,AMC Entertainment的股价不到2.50美元。

Redditors picked GameStop as the highly shorted company to short-squeeze. They bought the stock to punish bears who bet against it. Bears correctly bet against AMC because it had high debt. It was losing viewers to movie companies releasing titles on streaming services.

Redders选择GameStop作为高度做空的公司进行做空。他们买入这只股票是为了惩罚那些做空它的空头。看空者正确地做空AMC,因为它的债务很高。它的观众正在被在流媒体服务上发布片头的电影公司抢走。

Bail on AMC Stock Now

现在对AMC股票进行保释

Though streaming stocks are down, their demand remains strong. Roku and Netflix are trading lower because they face higher competition. Revenue growth is slowing. Markets are unwilling to pay nose-bleeding valuations for them. Expect the price-to-earnings and price-to-sales multiples to fall for stocks. This will hurt AMC as investors switch by buying companies that post quarterly profits.

尽管流媒体股票下跌,但它们的需求依然强劲。Roku和Netflix的股价下跌,因为它们面临着更激烈的竞争。营收增长正在放缓。市场不愿为它们支付令人流鼻血的估值。预计股票的市盈率和市盈率将会下降。这将损害AMC,因为投资者转而买入公布季度利润的公司。

译文内容由第三方软件翻译。


以上内容仅用作资讯或教育之目的,不构成与富途相关的任何投资建议。富途竭力但不能保证上述全部内容的真实性、准确性和原创性。
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