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AMC Stock: Why it’s Time to Bail Right Now

AMC Stock: Why it’s Time to Bail Right Now

AMC股票:為什麼現在是時候出手了
InvestorPlace ·  2022/05/20 23:09

Meme momentum is fading rapidly forAMC Entertainment(AMC) and AMC stock.Positive sentiment alone accounted for AMC's price rise.Investors should take this opportunity to bail from AMC now.

米姆的勢頭正在迅速消退AMC娛樂公司(AMC)和AMC股票。樂觀情緒本身就是AMC股價上漲的原因。投資者現在應該抓住這個機會從AMC買入。

Investors may cite improving movie attendance as a reason to buyAMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) stock. At the same time, they are shunningNetflix(NASDAQ:NFLX) andRoku(NASDAQ:ROKU). People moved on from the stay-at-home lifestyle of 2020 and 2021. This year, going out will include watching movies in a theatre. Does this mean AMC's stock price will rise with the favorable trend?

投資者可能會將觀影人數的提高作為買入的一個理由AMC娛樂公司(紐約證券交易所:AMC)股票。與此同時,他們也在迴避網飛(納斯達克:NFLX)和羅庫(納斯達克:羅庫)。人們擺脱了2020年和2021年的在家生活方式。今年,外出將包括在劇院裏看電影。這是否意味着AMC的股價將隨着有利的趨勢而上漲?

Investors should dig into AMC's latest quarterly report first. The company has several red flags that undermine the bullish thesis.

投資者應該先深入研讀AMC的最新季度報告。該公司有幾個危險信號,削弱了看漲觀點。

Meme Momentum for AMC Stock Fading

AMC股票消退的表情包動量

Meme investing tried, but failed several times to come back. Most recently,GameStop(NYSE:GME)double-bottomed at $80 in March and rose to over $180 to then fall back to $80. AMC stock also rallied to over $30 in that time. However, it recently closed at $11.81.

米姆投資嘗試了幾次,但都以失敗告終。最近,遊戲停止(紐約證券交易所:GME)在3月份跌至80美元的雙底,然後升至180美元以上,然後回落至80美元。在此期間,AMC的股價也上漲到了30美元以上。不過,最近收盤價為11.81美元。

Meme investing is synonymous with momentum investing. The stock depended on buying momentum for the rallies. Those who sold into the rally profited the most. Anyone too slow to sell is largely holding losses. Fundamentals from its quarterly report are questionable.

表情包投資是動量投資的同義詞。該股依賴於反彈的買入勢頭。那些在反彈中拋售股票的人獲利最多。任何賣得太慢的人都在很大程度上蒙受損失。該公司季度報告的基本面是值得懷疑的。

Quarterly Loss Erasing Positive Sentiment

季度虧損抹去積極情緒

In the first quarter, AMC posted non-GAAP earnings per share loss of 52 cents. Revenue rose by 429.8% year-over-year to $785.7 million. Those figures suggest that AMC will need to sustain its revenue growth to achieve break-even profits. In the first quarter, AMC reported an attendance of 39,075,000 from average screens of 10,099.

第一季度,AMC公佈的非GAAP每股收益虧損52美分。營收同比增長429.8%,達到7.857億美元。這些數字表明,AMC將需要保持收入增長,才能實現盈虧平衡利潤。第一季度,AMC報告的上座率為39,075,000,而平均銀幕數為10,099。

At around 3,900 attendance per screen in the quarter, the theatre chain has a long way to go. This number seems too low for a company whose market capitalization is $6.72 billion. The bear market is especially damaging for technology stocks. Companies with a high price-to-sales ratio fell sharply from their peak.

該季度每個銀幕的上座率約為3900人次,這家連鎖影院還有很長的路要走。對於一家市值67.2億美元的公司來説,這個數字似乎太低了。熊市對科技股的損害尤其嚴重。市銷率較高的公司從巔峯時期大幅下滑。

In the chart above created by Stock Rover, AMC's moving average convergence divergence is bearish. The faster-moving blue line crossed the slower-moving green line, which is a sell signal.

在上面由Stock Rover創建的圖表中,AMC的移動平均趨同背離是看跌的。移動較快的藍線越過移動較慢的綠線,這是賣出信號。

Shareholders who bought AMC stock in the last two years may zoom out of the stock chart. From late 2018 to Jan. 1, 2021, AMC shares could not break a downtrend. It traded at below $2.50 before Reddit's r/WallStreetBets added AMC Entertainment to the meme stock craze.

過去兩年買入AMC股票的股東可能會縮小股票圖表。從2018年末到2021年1月1日,AMC的股價未能打破下跌趨勢。在Reddit的r/WallStreetBets將AMC Entertainment加入Meme股票熱潮之前,AMC Entertainment的股價不到2.50美元。

Redditors picked GameStop as the highly shorted company to short-squeeze. They bought the stock to punish bears who bet against it. Bears correctly bet against AMC because it had high debt. It was losing viewers to movie companies releasing titles on streaming services.

Redders選擇GameStop作為高度做空的公司進行做空。他們買入這隻股票是為了懲罰那些做空它的空頭。看空者正確地做空AMC,因為它的債務很高。它的觀眾正在被在流媒體服務上發佈片頭的電影公司搶走。

Bail on AMC Stock Now

現在對AMC股票進行保釋

Though streaming stocks are down, their demand remains strong. Roku and Netflix are trading lower because they face higher competition. Revenue growth is slowing. Markets are unwilling to pay nose-bleeding valuations for them. Expect the price-to-earnings and price-to-sales multiples to fall for stocks. This will hurt AMC as investors switch by buying companies that post quarterly profits.

儘管流媒體股票下跌,但它們的需求依然強勁。Roku和Netflix的股價下跌,因為它們面臨着更激烈的競爭。營收增長正在放緩。市場不願為它們支付令人流鼻血的估值。預計股票的市盈率和市盈率將會下降。這將損害AMC,因為投資者轉而買入公佈季度利潤的公司。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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