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Is Sinofert Holdings (HKG:297) A Risky Investment?

Is Sinofert Holdings (HKG:297) A Risky Investment?

中化肥控股(HKG: 297)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/06 08:58

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Sinofert Holdings Limited (HKG:297) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理李露(查理·芒格支持他)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,聪明的人似乎知道债务(通常与破产有关)是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看出来 中化肥控股有限公司 (HKG: 297) 确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷方,那么债务就任其摆布。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有地离开。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

Check out our latest analysis for Sinofert Holdings

查看我们对中化肥控股的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Sinofert Holdings Carry?

中化肥控股负有多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sinofert Holdings had debt of CN¥1.04b at the end of December 2021, a reduction from CN¥1.71b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.32b in cash, leading to a CN¥275.4m net cash position.

您可以点击下图了解更多详情,该图片显示,截至2021年12月底,中化肥控股的债务为10.4亿元人民币,比一年内的17.1亿元人民币有所减少。但另一方面,它也有13.2亿元人民币的现金,净现金状况达到2.754亿元人民币。

SEHK:297 Debt to Equity History May 6th 2022
香港交易所:297 债转股历史记录 2022 年 5 月 6 日

How Healthy Is Sinofert Holdings' Balance Sheet?

中化控股的资产负债表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Sinofert Holdings had liabilities of CN¥7.16b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.35b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.32b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.56b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥5.64b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据最近公布的资产负债表,Sinofert Holdings在12个月内到期的负债为71.6亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为13.5亿元人民币。抵消了这些债务,它有13.2亿元的现金以及在12个月内到期的价值15.6亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出564亿元人民币。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥7.98b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Sinofert Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

相对于其79.8亿元人民币的市值,这是一大笔杠杆率。这表明,如果公司需要迅速巩固资产负债表,股东将被大幅稀释。尽管它确实有值得注意的负债,但Sinofert Holdings的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它能够安全地管理债务。

Also good is that Sinofert Holdings grew its EBIT at 17% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sinofert Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同样好的是,Sinofert Holdings的息税前利润比去年增长了17%,进一步提高了其管理债务的能力。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定Sinofert Holdings未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你专注于未来,你可以看看这个 免费的 显示分析师盈利预测的报告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Sinofert Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Sinofert Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 59% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法削减债务。Sinofert Holdings的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,Sinofert Holdings产生了强劲的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的59%,与我们的预期差不多。这种自由现金流使公司处于在适当时偿还债务的有利地位。

Summing up

总结

While Sinofert Holdings does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥275.4m. And we liked the look of last year's 17% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we are not troubled with Sinofert Holdings's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Sinofert Holdings .

尽管Sinofert Holdings的负债确实超过了流动资产,但其净现金也为2.754亿元人民币。而且我们喜欢去年息税前利润同比增长17%的样子。因此,我们对Sinofert Holdings的债务使用并不感到困扰。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可能控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,您应该注意我们在Sinofert Holdings上发现的两个警告信号。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

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