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We Think That There Are Issues Underlying China East Education Holdings' (HKG:667) Earnings

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying China East Education Holdings' (HKG:667) Earnings

我們認爲華東教育控股(HKG: 667)的收益存在問題
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/28 08:12

China East Education Holdings Limited (HKG:667) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

中國東方教育控股有限公司 (HKG: 667) 宣佈盈利強勁,但該股停滯不前。我們進行了一些挖掘,在細節中發現了一些令人擔憂的因素。

View our latest analysis for China East Education Holdings

查看我們對中國東方教育控股的最新分析

SEHK:667 Earnings and Revenue History April 27th 2022
聯交所:667 盈利及收入記錄 2022年4月27日

A Closer Look At China East Education Holdings' Earnings

近距離觀察華東教育控股的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者還沒有聽說過 現金流應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

China East Education Holdings has an accrual ratio of 0.20 for the year to December 2021. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥186m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥302.2m. China East Education Holdings' free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits.

截至2021年12月的一年中,中國東方教育控股的應計比率爲0.20。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲1.86億元人民幣,遠低於其3.022億元的法定利潤。華東教育控股的自由現金流實際上比去年有所下降,但明年可能會反彈,因爲自由現金流通常比會計利潤更具波動性。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

Our Take On China East Education Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對華東教育控股盈利表現的看法

China East Education Holdings didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that China East Education Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 32% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example - China East Education Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

去年,華東教育控股沒有將其大部分利潤轉換爲自由現金流,一些投資者可能認爲這相當不理想。因此,我們認爲華東教育控股的法定利潤可能好於其基礎盈利能力。但至少持有人可以從過去三年的每股收益每年增長32%中得到一些安慰。當然,在分析其收益時,我們只是浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。有鑑於此,如果您想對公司進行更多分析,瞭解所涉及的風險至關重要。例如,中國東方教育控股有兩個警告信號,我們認爲你應該注意。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of China East Education Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我們放大了單個數據點,以更好地瞭解中國東方教育控股的利潤性質。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多東西要發現。有些人認爲,高股本回報率是高質量業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要代表你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這個 免費的 一系列擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士爲了有用而買入的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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