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We Think That There Are Some Issues For Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd (SZSE:300618) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd (SZSE:300618) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

我們認爲南京漢瑞鈷業有限公司(SZSE:300618)存在一些超出其良好收益的挑戰。
Simply Wall St ·  2022/04/22 08:01

Nanjing Hanrui Cobalt Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300618) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

寒銳鈷業(臨時代碼)(SZSE:300618)的健康利潤數字對投資者沒有驚喜。我們認爲股東注意到了一些超出法定利潤數字的令人擔憂的因素。

See our latest analysis for Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd

查看我們對寒銳鈷業的最新分析

SZSE:300618 Earnings and Revenue History April 21st 2022
SZSE:300618 每股收益和營業收入歷史 2022年4月21日

A Closer Look At Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's Earnings

深入了解寒銳鈷業的每股收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用於衡量公司將利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的財務比率之一是應計比率。應計比率將某個時期的自由現金流從利潤中減去,然後將結果除以公司在該段時間內的平均經營資產。這個比率告訴我們公司的利潤中有多少沒有被自由現金流支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負的應計比率是好事,因爲這表明公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然應計比率高於零並不太令人擔憂,但我們認爲當一家公司有相對較高的應計比率時值得注意。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致較低的利潤或利潤增長。

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.48. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥1.2b despite its profit of CN¥663.2m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥1.2b, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2021年12月的十二個月中,寒銳鈷業記錄了0.48的應計比率。從統計學上看,這對未來的收益是真正的負面因素。值得注意的是,在這段時間內,該公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。實際上,在過去的十二個月中,它的確有 負的 自由現金流流出達12億人民幣,儘管其利潤爲66320萬元,如上所述。 在去年出現負面的自由現金流之後,我們想一些股東可能會懷疑,今年的現金流出12億人民幣是否意味着高風險。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師在未來盈利能力方面的預測。幸運的是,你可以點擊這裏查看根據他們的估算繪製的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

Our Take On Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's Profit Performance

我們對寒銳鈷業(臨時代碼)的利潤表現的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd.

正如我們所明確指出的,我們有點擔心寒銳鈷業(臨時代碼)沒有用自由現金流支持去年的利潤。 基於這個原因,我們認爲寒銳鈷業(臨時代碼)的法定利潤可能不太能反映其潛在的盈利能力,可能會讓投資者對公司產生過於樂觀的印象。 幸運的是,儘管這不是一個完美的衡量標準,但其每股收益的增長在過去一年中實在是很出色。 當然,當我們開始分析其收益時,我們才剛剛揭開表面;還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報等因素。 所以如果你想更深入理解這隻股票,考慮它所面臨的任何風險非常重要。 爲了幫助你,我們發現了三個警告信號(其中一個讓我們有些不安!),你應該在購買寒銳鈷業(臨時代碼)的任何股票之前了解這些信號。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Nanjing Hanrui CobaltLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

今天我們聚焦於一個單一數據點,以更好地了解寒銳鈷業(臨時代碼)的利潤性質。 但如果你能夠集中精神關注細節,總是還有更多值得發現的東西。 一些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好跡象。 所以你可能希望查看這份自由獲取的高股本回報率公司的合集,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票名單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容有疑慮嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。 或者,發送郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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