From Nvidia To Netflix, QQQ Is On Fire - But Will It Burn Out?
The Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) has been on a tear, rallying 20.53% over the past month and pushing into its most overbought zone since last July.
納指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust（納斯達克:QQQ）近期表現強勁，在過去一個月上漲了20.53%，進入自去年七月以來最超買的區域。
Nasdaq $QQQ reaches most overbought level since July pic.twitter.com/SEvsP5Uc7K
— Barchart (@Barchart) May 19, 2025
納斯達克 $QQQ 達到自七月以來最超買的水平 pic.twitter.com/SEvsP5Uc7K
— Barchart (@Barchart) 2025年5月19日
Powering this surge are tech juggernauts like Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), which soared nearly 40%, and Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX), up over 20% in the same period.
推動這一上漲的科技巨頭包括英偉達（NVIDIA CORP（納斯達克:NVDA）），其股價近40%的漲幅，以及Netflix Inc（納斯達克:NFLX），在同一時期上漲超過20%。
With investor enthusiasm running hot, QQQ now trades at $520.20, reflecting both momentum and mania.
隨着投資者熱情高漲，QQQ的交易價格目前爲$520.20，反映了動能與狂熱。
All Signals Point To Bullish
所有信號均指向看好
Chart created using Benzinga Pro
圖表使用Benzinga Pro創建
Technically, the trend remains strongly bullish. QQQ trades above its five, 20, and 50-day exponential moving averages, while its eight-day simple moving average (SMA) of $514.13, 20-day SMA of $492.02, and 50-day SMA of $474.66 all flash bullish signals.
從技術上看，趨勢依然強勁看好。QQQ的交易價格高於其五日、20日和50日指數移動均線，而其八日簡單移動均線(SMA)爲514.13美元、20日SMA爲492.02美元和50日SMA爲474.66美元均發出積極信號。
Even the longer-term 200-day SMA sits well below at $493.11, underscoring the ETF's sharp upward break. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reading of 14.66 and a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 70.17 confirm that QQQ is in overbought territory.
即使是長期的200日SMA也位於493.11美元的較低位置，強調了該美股ETF首頁的急劇上行突破。移動平均收斂發散(MACD)讀數爲14.66，相對強弱指數(RSI)爲70.17，確認QQQ已進入超買區域。
XLK Joins The Tech Euphoria
XLK加入了科技的狂熱中
The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLK) isn't sitting quietly either – it's gained 24.84% in the last month. Microchip Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MCHP) has exploded +54.07%, while Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (NASDAQ:STX), Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MU) and Palantir Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:PLTR) have each gained over +39%, as chipmakers and AI stocks dominate the leaderboard.
科技行業精選指數ETF-SPDR（紐交所:XLK）也沒有安靜下來——在過去一個月中上漲了24.84%。美光科技公司（納斯達克:MCHP）飆升了54.07%，而希捷科技控股 PLC（納斯達克:STX）、美光科技公司（納斯達克:MU）和Palantir Technologies Inc（納斯達克:PLTR）均上漲了超過39%，芯片製造商和人工智能股票在排行榜上佔據主導地位。
Caution: Euphoria Zone Ahead
警告：狂熱區域在前方
While bulls are firmly in control, QQQ's RSI suggests we may be entering euphoria territory, where rallies can exhaust themselves.
雖然看好者牢牢控制局面，但QQQ的RSI暗示我們可能正進入狂熱區域，在那裏反彈可能會耗盡。
With many of the big names already logging massive gains, investors now face the classic question: Is this the breakout before a breather, or the setup for a sharper reversal?
隨着許多大牌公司已經獲得巨額收益，投資者現在面臨經典問題：這是喘息前的突破，還是更大反轉的鋪墊？
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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