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Is Goeasy a Good Stock to Buy Now?

Is Goeasy a Good Stock to Buy Now?

Goeasy現在是一個值得買入的好股票嗎?
The Motley Fool ·  03/17 19:30

goeasy (TSX:GSY) is an alternative financial services company offering subprime customers lending and leasing services. Since beginning its lending services in 2006, it took 13 years to expand its loan portfolio to $1 billion. However, since then, its loan portfolio has more than quadrupled, standing at $4.6 billion as of December 31, 2024. These expansions have boosted its financials, thus supporting its stock price growth. Over the last 20 years, the company has returned 1,128.2%, representing an annualized return of 13.4%.

goeasy (TSX:GSY) 是一家提供次級客戶貸款和租賃服務的替代金融服務公司。自2006年開始提供貸款服務以來,它花了13年時間將貸款組合擴展到10億。然而,自那時以來,它的貸款組合已翻了四倍,截至2024年12月31日達到了46億。這些擴展提升了公司的財務,支持了股價的增長。在過去的20年裏,公司回報率爲1128.2%,年化回報率爲13.4%。

However, the company has been under pressure over the last few months and trades around 28% lower than its July highs. Amid the pullback, its valuation looks attractive. So, let's assess its recently reported fourth-quarter performance and growth prospects to determine buying opportunities in the stock.

然而,該公司在過去幾個月受到壓力,交易價格比7月高點低約28%。在回調之際,其估值看起來很有吸引力。因此,讓我們評估其最近報告的第四季度表現和增長前景,以判斷在該股票中的買入機會。

goeasy's fourth-quarter performance

goeasy的第四季度表現

goeasy reported an impressive fourth-quarter performance last month, with loan origination of $814 million — a 15% increase from the previous year. The company witnessed solid performance across its product offerings and acquisition channels amid rising credit demand with record applications during the quarter. Rising loan originations drove its loan portfolio to $4.6 billion, representing a 26% increase from the previous year's quarter. Its top line grew by 19.8% to $405 million during the quarter, with the company witnessing stable credit and payment performance.

goeasy上個月報告了令人印象深刻的第四季度業績,貸款發放達到81400萬——比去年增長15%。在信貸需求上升、申請數量創紀錄的季度中,公司在產品和收購渠道方面表現強勁。貸款發放的增長推動其貸款組合達到46億,比上一年同期增長26%。在本季度中,其營業收入增長了19.8%,達到了40500萬,公司經歷了穩定的信用和支付表現。

Meanwhile, its annualized net off charge rose to 9.1% from 8.8% in the previous year's quarter. But, it still stood below its 8.75-9.75% guidance. The company has also increased the allowance for future credit losses from 7.38% to 7.61% amid a challenging macroeconomic outlook. Its operating income stood at $165 million. However, removing one-time or extraordinary expenses, its adjusted operating income stood at $168 million, a 20% increase from the previous year's quarter, while its adjusted operating income stood at 41.6%. Further, its adjusted EPS (earnings per share) rose 11% to $4.45. Now, let's look at its growth prospects.

與此同時,其年化淨沖銷率從上年同期的8.8%上升至9.1%。但仍低於其8.75-9.75%的指引。公司還將未來信用損失準備金從7.38%上調至7.61%,因爲宏觀經濟前景具有挑戰性。其營業收入爲16500萬。然而,去除一次性或非常規費用後,其調整後的營業收入爲16800萬,比上年同期增長20%,而其調整後的營業收入率爲41.6%。此外,其調整後的每股收益(EPS)上升11%,達到4.45美元。現在,讓我們看看它的增長前景。

goeasy's growth prospects

goeasy的增長前景

Last week, the Bank of Canada slashed its benchmark interest rates by 25 basis points. It was the seventh consecutive rate cut by the central bank. Falling interest rates could boost economic activities and drive credit demand, thus benefiting goeasy. Also, delinquencies could fall in a lower interest rate environment.

上週,加拿大銀行將基準利率下調25個點子。這是該央行連續第七次減息。利率下降可能會促進經濟活動並推動信用需求,從而使goeasy受益。此外,在低利率環境中,違約率可能會下降。

Moreover, goeasy's expanded product offerings, multiple distribution channels, enhanced customer relationships, and risk-based pricing would allow it to benefit from the rising credit demand. The company is also investing strategically to become Canada's top non-prime, non-bank auto lender. It also adopted next-generation credit models and tightened underwriting requirements to lower delinquencies. Considering all these factors, I expect the uptrend in goeasy's financials to continue.

此外,goeasy擴展的產品供應、多元化的分銷渠道、增強的客戶關係和基於風險的定價將使其受益於日益增長的信用需求。公司還在戰略上進行投資,力爭成爲加拿大頂級的非優質、非銀行汽車貸款機構。它還採用了下一代信用模型,並收緊了承銷要求以降低違約率。考慮到所有這些因素,我預計goeasy的財務狀況將繼續保持上行趨勢。

Meanwhile, goeasy's management projects its loan portfolio to reach $7.35-$7.75 billion by 2027, with the midpoint representing a 64% increase from 2024. Also, its revenue could grow at an annualized rate of 11.3% during this period while improving its operating margin to 43% by 2027. So, its growth prospects look healthy.

與此同時,goeasy的管理層預計其貸款組合到2027年將達到73.5億到77.5億,加權中點代表與2024年的64%的增長。此外,其營業收入在此期間可能以年化11.3%的速度增長,同時到2027年將營業利潤率提高至43%。因此,其增長前景看起來十分健康。

Investors' takeaway

投資者的收穫

Despite its healthy financials and growth prospects, goeasy has been under pressure over the last few months due to a challenging macro environment. The pullback has dragged its valuation down to attractive territory, with its next-12-month price-to-earnings multiple at 7.5. Moreover, last month, the company raised its annual dividends by 25% to $5.84 per share, marking the 11th consecutive year of a dividend hike. Its forward yield is 3.92% as of the March 14th closing price. Considering all these factors, I believe goeasy would be an excellent long-term buy.

儘管goeasy的財務狀況健康且增長前景良好,但由於宏觀環境嚴峻,過去幾個月一直受到壓力。這一下跌使其估值下降至具有吸引力的區域,未來12個月的價格收益比爲7.5。此外,上個月,該公司將年度分紅提高了25%,至每股5.84美元,標誌着連續第11年的分紅增長。截至3月14日的收盤價,其前瞻性收益率爲3.92%。考慮到所有這些因素,我認爲goeasy會是一個優秀的長期買入。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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