Third-Largest 'Buy-The-Dip' In History — BofA's Sees 'Correction, Not A Bear Market' Amid Wall Street Rebound
Third-Largest 'Buy-The-Dip' In History — BofA's Sees 'Correction, Not A Bear Market' Amid Wall Street Rebound
Investors funneled cash into U.S. equities at the third-highest pace in history last week, with Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett framing it as a "correction, not a bear market," following four weeks of market turmoil.
投資者在上週以歷史第三快的速度將現金投入美國股票,美國銀行策略師邁克爾·哈特奈特將其描述爲「調整,而不是熊市」,此前市場動盪持續了四周。
What Happened: According to BofA Global Investment Strategy data highlighted by hedge fund consultant Seth Golden on Sunday, private client flows to equities reached approximately 2.5% of Assets Under Management in March, marking the "3rd largest weekly inflow to equities ever" from BofA clients.
發生了什麼:根據美國銀行全球投資策略的數據,由對沖基金顧問賽斯·黃金在週日強調,私募客戶流入股票的金額在三月份達到了約2.5%的管理資產,這標誌着美國銀行客戶「歷史上第三大周流入股票」。
"Markets stop panicking when policy makers start panicking," Golden, chief market strategist at Finom Group, noted on X, encouraging followers to "follow the fund flows."
「當政策制定者開始感到恐慌時,市場才會停止恐慌,」Finom Group的首席市場策略師黃金在X上指出,鼓勵追隨者「關注資金流動。」
The massive buying surge comes as U.S. stocks staged a sharp rebound on Friday when the S&P 500 tracked by The SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY) jumped 1.9%, eyeing its strongest daily rally since November. Despite this recovery, major indices remain on track for a fourth consecutive weekly decline – the longest losing streak since May 2022.
這次大規模的買入潮發生在美國股票在週五強勁反彈之際,標普500指數(由SPDR標普500(紐交所:SPY)跟蹤)上漲了1.9%,創下自11月以來最強日回升。儘管出現了這種恢復,但主要指數仍在進行第四個連續的周度下跌,這是自2022年5月以來最長的下跌波動。
BofA's Michael Hartnett
"3rd largest Buy-The-Dip reign in history last week! We say this is a correction, not a bear market in stocks. Markets stop panicking when policy makers start panicking..."
Follow the fund flows folks!$SPX $ES_F $SPY $VOO $QQQ $NYA $NVDA $AMZN $IWM... pic.twitter.com/2JO61Nv2BH— Seth Golden (@SethCL) March 15, 2025
美國銀行的邁克爾·哈特奈特
「上週是歷史上第三大買入機會!我們認爲這是調整,而不是股票的熊市。當政策制定者開始感到恐慌時,市場才會停止恐慌...」
關注資金流動吧,朋友們!$SPX $ES_F $SPY $VOO $QQQ $NYA $NVDA $AMZN $IWM... pic.twitter.com/2JO61Nv2BH— 賽斯·黃金(@SethCL) 2025年3月15日
Why It Matters: Recent market volatility has been driven by recession concerns, with betting markets tracked by CFTC-regulated Kalshi showing the probability of a 2025 U.S. recession climbing to 37%. The Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model currently forecasts a 2.4% contraction in the first quarter, reversing from a 2.3% expansion in the fourth quarter of 2024.
重要性:最近的市場波動是由經濟衰退擔憂驅動的,受CFTC監管的Kalshi跟蹤的投注市場顯示2025年美國經濟衰退的概率攀升至37%。亞特蘭大聯邦儲備銀行的GDPNow模型目前預測第一季度將收縮2.4%,反轉了2024年第四季度2.3%的擴張。
Political factors may influence economic outcomes, as Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick dismissed the Atlanta Fed's contraction forecast as "ridiculous." Meanwhile, analysts like Chris Zaccarelli of Northlight Asset Management question whether the President Donald Trump administration's economic policies will "lead to a recession or higher growth rates."
政治因素可能影響經濟結果,商務部長霍華德·盧特尼克稱亞特蘭大聯儲的收縮預測爲「荒謬」。與此同時,像諾斯萊特資產管理公司的克里斯·扎卡雷利這樣的分析師質疑特朗普概念政府的經濟政策是否會「導致衰退或更高的增長率。」
If the economy avoids recession, Jeff Buchbinder at LPL Financial suggests upside potential "may be as much as double the downside risk" over the next 9-12 months.
如果經濟避免衰退,LPL Financial的傑夫·布赫賓德建議未來9到12個月的上行潛力「可能是下行風險的兩倍。」
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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