Best Stock to Buy Right Now: Fortis Vs Emera?
Best Stock to Buy Right Now: Fortis Vs Emera?
There's no question that utility stocks are some of the best and most reliable stocks you can buy, especially right now, as considerable uncertainty lingers in both the stock market and the economy.
毫無疑問,公用事業股票是您可以買入的一些最優秀和最可靠的股票,尤其是在現在,股票市場和經濟存在相當大的不確定性。
However, while utility companies are known for their low volatility and for being some of the most reliable dividend stocks you can buy, they aren't just for risk-averse investors who are nearing retirement.
然而,雖然公用事業公司以其低波動性和作爲一些最可靠的分紅派息股票而聞名,但它們並不僅僅適合接近養老的、風險厭惡的投資者。
Utility stocks can play a role in essentially every investor's portfolio as core holdings that help to stabilize your portfolio and offer steady, long-term growth.
公用事業股票可以在每個投資者的投資組合中發揮核心作用,幫助穩定你的投資組合並提供穩定的、開多期的增長。
So, while investors who are closer to retirement may choose to allocate more of their capital to lower-risk stocks, no matter where you are in your financial journey, a high-quality utility stock can play an essential role.
因此,雖然接近養老的投資者可能會選擇將更多資本配置到低風險股票,但無論你處於財務旅程的哪個階段,高質量的公用事業股票都可以發揮重要作用。
The question is, of the two best and most popular utility stocks in Canada, Emera (TSX:EMA) and Fortis (TSX:FTS), which is the best stock to buy now?
問題是,在加拿大的兩隻最佳和最受歡迎的公用事業股票,Emera(TSX:EMA)和Fortis(TSX:FTS)中,哪一隻股票現在買入最好?
What are the main differences between Fortis and Emera?
Fortis和Emera之間的主要區別是什麼?
Both Fortis and Emera have a tonne of similarities. However, while their core businesses are the same, there are some considerable differences, which help to illustrate which is the best stock to buy now.
Fortis和Emera有很多相似之處。然而,儘管它們的核心業務相同,但還是有一些顯著的區別,這幫助說明了哪一隻股票現在買入最好。
First off, when it comes to dividends, which are one of the main reasons investors buy utility stocks, Fortis has a much longer track record of growth.
首先,在分紅派息方面,作爲投資者購買公用事業股票的主要原因之一,Fortis的增長記錄要長得多。
In fact, Fortis has the second-longest dividend-growth streak in Canada, at a whopping 51 consecutive years of dividend increases. Emera has increased its dividend for just 17 years in a row.
事實上,Fortis在加拿大擁有第二長的分紅增長記錄,連續51年增加分紅。Emera的分紅增長只是連續17年。
17 years is still an impressive streak and shows the stability and reliability of Emera's operations, but it's nowhere near as impressive as Fortis.
17年仍然是一個令人印象深刻的記錄,顯示了Emera運營的穩定性和可靠性,但與Fortis相比,顯得遜色很多。
In addition, in terms of dividend growth, Fortis also gets the edge. For example, according to each company's guidance, Fortis is planning to increase its dividend by 4-6% annually over the next five years. In contrast, Emera is targeting just 1-2% annual increases to its dividend through 2026.
此外,在分紅增長方面,Fortis也佔據優勢。例如,根據各自公司的指導,Fortis計劃在未來五年內每年增加4-6%的分紅。相比之下,Emera的目標只是到2026年每年增加1-2%的分紅。
In addition, both companies are in the midst of a significant capital plan, with Fortis investing $26 billion from 2025 through 2029, while Emera is investing $8.8 billion from 2024 through 2026. Furthermore, Emera expects to see higher rate base growth from these investments at 7% to 8% growth annually, compared to a 6.5% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from Fortis.
此外,兩家公司都在進行重大的資本計劃,Fortis計劃在2025年至2029年投資260億,而Emera計劃在2024年至2026年投資88億。此外,Emera預計這些投資的基礎增長率每年將達到7%到8%,而Fortis的複合年增長率(CAGR)爲6.5%。
However, because Fortis' dividend is currently more sustainable and its payout ratio is more manageable, it can plan to increase its dividend at a much higher pace each year.
然而,由於Fortis的分紅派息目前更加可持續,其派息比率更易於管理,因此它可以計劃以更高的速度每年增加分紅派息。
Therefore, at the moment it appears as though Fortis is the best utility stock to buy right now of these two, however, as you'll see below, it also depends on your personal preferences and investing goals.
因此,目前看起來Fortis是這兩個中最適合立即買入的公用事業股票,然而,正如您下面將看到的,這也取決於您的個人偏好和投資目標。
Which is the best utility stock to buy now?
現在哪個是最好的公用事業股票可以買入?
As you can see from the chart below, as low-risk, low-volatility dividend stocks, they both tend to move in unison. However, Fortis tends to be the slightly more efficient stock.
正如您從下面的圖表中看到的,作爲低風險、低波動性的分紅派息股票,它們都傾向於一起波動。然而,Fortis通常是稍微更高效的股票。
For example, over the last five years, Fortis has earned investors a total return of 32.4% compared to Emera's total return of 24.3%. Furthermore, over the previous 10 years, Fortis's total return is roughly 140%, which is a CAGR of 9.1%, compared to Emera's total return of approximately 126%, which is a CAGR of roughly 8.5%.
例如,在過去五年中,Fortis爲投資者帶來了32.4%的總回報,而Emera的總回報爲24.3%。此外,在過去十年中,Fortis的總回報約爲140%,年均複合增長率爲9.1%,而Emera的總回報大約爲126%,年均複合增長率約爲8.5%。
However, although Fortis has outpaced Emera for years, and although it should increase its dividend at a higher rate in the near term, the one edge that Emera has is that it's less expensive and offers a higher dividend yield.
然而,儘管Fortis多年來一直超越Emera,並且在短期內應該以更高的速度增加其分紅派息,但Emera的一個優勢在於它的價格更低,並且提供更高的分紅派息收益率。
For example, Fortis currently trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.5 times and has a dividend yield of 3.9%. Emera trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17.6 times and has a current yield of roughly 5%.
例如,Fortis目前的前瞻市盈率爲18.5倍,分紅派息收益率爲3.9%。Emera的前瞻市盈率爲17.6倍,目前的收益率約爲5%。
It's not exactly surprising to see Fortis trade at a premium, given its consistent outperformance of Emera and longer track record of dividend growth.
看到Fortis以溢價交易並不令人驚訝,因爲它一直表現優於Emera,並且有着更長的分紅派息增長記錄。
So, in my view, although Fortis is more expensive, it's the best stock to buy now. However, if you're looking for more value or want to lock in a higher yield, you may elect to choose Emera for your portfolio.
所以在我看來,雖然Fortis價格更高,但現在它是最值得買入的股票。然而,如果你在尋找更多的價值或想要鎖定更高的收益率,你可以選擇Emera來加入你的投資組合。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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