The Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ:XMTR) share price has softened a substantial 27% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in the United States' Trade Distributors industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may still consider Xometry as a stock to avoid entirely with its 3.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
NasdaqGS:XMTR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 25th 2025
What Does Xometry's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Xometry certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Xometry's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 21% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 178% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 18% per annum during the coming three years according to the eleven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.0% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Xometry's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Xometry's P/S?
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Xometry's very lofty P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Xometry's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Xometry has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Xometry, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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