Bitcoin Could Drop As Low As $75,000 If It Fills This Liquidity Gap, Expert Warns
Bitcoin Could Drop As Low As $75,000 If It Fills This Liquidity Gap, Expert Warns
"The month of December printed a shooting star candle," McCann noted, a technical signal that historically indicates bearish sentiment. A significant gap in the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (NASDAQ:CME) Bitcoin futures contract near $75,000, suggests a potential downside move for Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) in the short-term, according to Joe McCann, founder of Asymmetric.
根據Asymmetric創始人喬·麥肯的說法，芝加哥商品交易所（納斯達克:CME）比特幣期貨合約在$75,000附近存在顯著缺口，這意味着比特幣可能在短期內會出現下行走勢。
What Happened: McCann's analysis from Tuesday paints a bearish picture, shifting away from previous bullish sentiments, as he notes a confluence of technical and macroeconomic indicators pointing toward a near-term price correction.
發生了什麼：麥肯週二的分析描繪了一幅看淡的前景，偏離了之前的看好情緒，因爲他指出技術和宏觀經濟因數的匯聚表明短期內價格可能出現修正。
McCann highlighted several factors supporting his short-term bearish outlook, including technical patterns, market liquidity and broader economic conditions.
麥肯指出支持他短期看淡觀點的幾個因素，包括技術模式、市場流動性以及更廣泛的經濟條件。
"The month of December printed a shooting star candle," McCann noted, a technical signal that historically indicates bearish sentiment.
"12月份出現了射擊之星蠟燭，" 麥肯指出，這是一種技術信號，歷史上表明看淡情緒。
"There is a massive gap to be filled in the CME Bitcoin futures product...down near $75,000," he added.
"在CME比特幣期貨產品中有一個巨大的缺口需要填補……接近$75,000，" 他補充道。
According to McCann, Bitcoin's recent price action has shown weakness, with Tuesday's movement described as "a classic rejection beneath a multi-month regression channel."
麥肯表示，比特幣最近的價格走勢顯示出疲軟，週二的波動被描述爲"在多個月的回歸通道下的經典拒絕。"
He sought to highlight the significance of the 10-month moving average, which has historically acted as a pullback level during bull markets.
他試圖強調10個月移動平均線的重要性，這在歷史上通常作爲牛市中的回調水平。
"In this case, the 10 MA is right around...$75,000," McCann stated.
"在這種情況下，10個月移動平均線正好在……$75,000附近，" 麥肯表示。
Also Read: CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam To Step Down In February
另請閱讀：CFTC主席Rostin Behnam將在二月辭職。
The bearish narrative isn't solely rooted in technical indicators. McCann also flagged a contraction in global liquidity, noting that "nearly $1 trillion in nominal terms" was drained last week alone.
看淡的觀點並不僅僅基於技術因數。麥肯也提到了全球流動性收縮，指出「僅上週就流失了近1萬億的名義金額。」
This tightening liquidity, compounded by a recent contraction in Tether's outstanding supply, adds to the uncertainty in the crypto market.
這種緊縮的流動性，加上最近泰達幣未償供給的收縮，增加了加密市場的不確定性。
"Tether's supply peaked the day after the FOMC crashed the markets," McCann observed, marking a potential shift in sentiment.
麥肯觀察到：「泰達幣的供應在聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)崩潰市場的第二天達到了頂峯。」這標誌着情緒的潛在轉變。
On the macroeconomic front, McCann drew attention to the U.S. dollar's unexpected strength, which he labeled a "problem for risk assets, especially Bitcoin."
在宏觀經濟方面，麥肯關注到美元意外的強勁表現，他稱這是「風險資產，特別是比特幣的一個問題。」
He elaborated on the peculiar market dynamics: "The $DXY actually moved up on a day the Fed cut interest rates...smashing through a multi-year resistance level that is now turning into support."
他詳細闡述了奇特的市場動態：「$DXY在聯儲局減息的那天實際上上升……突破了一個多年的支撐位，現在變成了壓力位。」
What's Next: Despite his current bearish stance, McCann remains optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term trajectory.
接下來：儘管他目前持看淡立場，但麥肯對比特幣的長期走勢保持樂觀。
"Higher is my meme forever," he said, suggesting that Bitcoin's upward march to new all-time highs would resume in due time. However, for now, he emphasized a tactical approach. "The easy money is over. It's time to be tactical, and for now, I'm tactically bearish."
他說：「漲是我的永恒主題，」暗示比特幣將會在適當的時候恢復上漲，達到新的歷史新高。然而，目前他強調一種戰術性的策略。「輕鬆的錢已經結束。現在是時候採取戰術，而目前我戰術上看淡。」
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Image created using artificial intelligence with Midjourney.
該圖片使用Midjourney人工智能創建。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
