Despite Interest Rate Cuts, More Than 1 in 4 Canadians Expect to Be Unable to Pay Bills – Yet More Than 1 in 5 Plan to Take on More Debt
Despite Interest Rate Cuts, More Than 1 in 4 Canadians Expect to Be Unable to Pay Bills – Yet More Than 1 in 5 Plan to Take on More Debt
Inflation continues to be a leading concern for 82% of Canadians, with 44% of those surveyed reporting that their household finances are worse than anticipated in 2024
通貨膨脹繼續成爲82%加拿大人的主要關注點,其中44%的受訪者報告稱,2024年家庭財務狀況比預期更糟。
Key findings from the TransUnion report:
TransUnion報告的關鍵發現:
- Household financial strains most felt among Gen X (51%), as this generation nears retirement.
- Housing prices of concern to 57%, with only 14% intending to take out a new mortgage in the next 12 months, and 15% considering refinancing their property.
- Millennials hold largest share of debt at $911 billion.
- Millennials most concerned about their ability to keep current with bills and loans, with 35% saying they're not able to pay at least one in full.
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More than half of Canadians (63%) don't expect household income to increase in next six months.
- Gen X(51%)最感受到家庭財務壓力,因爲這一代人接近退休。
- 57%的人對住房價格感到擔憂,只有14%打算在未來12個月內申請新抵押貸款,15%考慮再融資他們的房地產。
- 千禧一代所持債務佔比最大,達9110億。
- 千禧一代最擔心自己能否按時支付賬單和貸款,35%的人表示他們無法至少一次全額支付。
- 超過一半的加拿大人(63%)預計家庭收入在接下來的六個月內不會增加。
TORONTO, Jan. 07, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- TransUnion's Q4 2024 Consumer Pulse study* reveals that Canadians continue to feel pressure on their personal finances, with over a quarter (26%) of Canadians reporting that they anticipate not being able to pay at least one of their current bills and loans in full. This rate increases for Millennials, with 35% reporting that they anticipate not being able to make at least one of their debt payments in full. This demographic also has the largest share of consumers by age group in Canada's credit market, holding 27% of credit accounts (debt related balances) and surpassing Baby Boomers for the first time. Despite concerns around their personal finances, more than 1 in 5 (22%) Canadians plan to take on additional credit or refinance existing credit in the next year – and of those, 43% anticipate applying for a new credit card.
多倫多,2025年1月7日(環球新聞)——TransUnion的2024年第四季度消費者情緒研究*顯示,加拿大人繼續感受到個人財務的壓力,超過四分之一(26%)的加拿大人報告他們預計不能全額支付至少一筆當前的賬單和貸款。對於千禧一代來說,這一比例更高,35%的人表示他們預計不能全額支付至少一項債務。這個群體在加拿大信用市場中擁有最大的年齡消費群體,持有27%的信用賬戶(債務相關餘額),首次超過嬰兒潮一代。儘管對個人財務感到擔憂,但超過五分之一(22%)的加拿大人計劃在明年承擔額外的信用或再融資現有的信用——其中43%的人預計會申請新的信用卡。
This concern around making debt repayments comes despite 79% of respondents revealing that their income remained flat or increased in the past three months as well as further interest rate reductions from the Bank of Canada.
儘管79%的受訪者透露他們的收入在過去三個月保持不變或有所增加,但在償還債務方面的擔憂依然存在,並且加拿大銀行進一步降低了利率。
Many Canadians also continue to feel that their financial outlook is stagnant, with nearly six in 10 (59%) saying that their incomes remained the same in the last three months, and more than half (63%) saying that they don't expect their household income to increase in the next six months.
許多加拿大人仍然覺得他們的財務前景停滯不前,近六成(59%)的人表示他們的收入在過去三個月保持不變,超過一半(63%)的人表示他們不期待在未來六個月內家庭收入會增加。
Millennials** continue to hold the largest share of debt in the Canadian credit market at $911 billion – approximately 38% of all Canadian debt. This is likely due to shifts in life stage as Millennials are increasingly having children, buying homes and continuing to pay off existing debt.
千禧一代**繼續在加拿大信用市場中佔據最大的債務份額,達到9110億加元——約佔所有加拿大債務的38%。這可能是因爲人生階段的轉變,因爲千禧一代越來越多地在生育、購房及繼續償還現有債務。
"While economic indicators show that consumers are likely to enjoy some relief from their financial pressures in 2025, many are still navigating the challenges caused by the highest interest rates since 2001 we recently experienced," said Matthew Fabian, director of financial services research and consulting at TransUnion Canada. "With more than half of households expecting their income to stay the same in the next 12 months, added liquidity created by anticipated further interest rate cuts should create some room to breathe, and fuel optimism for 2025."
"雖然經濟因數顯示消費者可能在2025年享有一些緩解財務壓力的機會,但許多人仍在應對我們最近經歷的自2001年以來最高利率帶來的挑戰," TransUnion加拿大金融服務研究與諮詢董事Matthew Fabian表示。"超過一半的家庭預計未來12個月收入不變,預計進一步的利率下調所帶來的流動性應能提供一定的喘息空間,併爲2025年帶來樂觀預期。"
Other key findings of the study include:
該研究的其他主要發現包括:
Canadians continue to take on new debt despite repayment concerns
Despite concerns around their personal finances, nearly a quarter (22%) of Canadians stated that they intended to take on additional or refinance existing credit in the next year – and of those, 43% anticipate applying for a new credit card. This indicates that some consumers are seeking to have extra credit available to help offset cash flow shortages during tough financial times.
儘管存在還款擔憂,加拿大人仍在繼續承擔新的債務
儘管對個人財務存在擔憂,近四分之一(22%)的加拿大人表示他們計劃在未來一年增加或再融資現有信用——在這些人中,43%預計會申請新的信用卡。這表明一些消費者希望獲得額外的信用,以幫助緩解財務困難時期的現金流短缺。
The study found that consumers are choosing to take on more debt or refinance existing credit despite almost half (49%) expressing concern about the effect of interest rates on their ability to pay off loans, mortgage or credit. Additionally, 30% of consumers said that they're uncomfortable having credit accounts like credit cards and loans.
研究發現,消費者選擇承擔更多債務或再融資現有信用,儘管幾乎一半(49%)的人表示對利率影響其償還貸款、抵押貸款或信用的能力感到擔憂。此外,30%的消費者表示他們對擁有信用賬戶,如信用卡和貸款感到不安。
Gen Z was the highest among generations who said they plan to apply for new or refinance existing credit within the next year at 34%. This comes as the total Canadian consumer credit debt reached a record $2.5 trillion in Q3 2024.
Z世代是計劃在未來一年申請新信用或再融資現有信用的代際中最高的,佔34%。與此同時,加拿大消費者信用債務在2024年第三季度達到了2.5萬億加元的歷史新高。
Reducing spending remains a priority as some Canadians take steps to protect themselves from recession
Less than half (44%) of Canadians didn't think that the country would enter a recession before the end of 2024. However, among those who said we are in a recession or would be in one by the end of 2024, the most popular stated measures taken to prepare for one was reducing spending (71%), building up savings (36%) and paying down debt (33%).
降低支出仍然是優先事項,因爲一些加拿大人採取措施保護自己免受經濟衰退的影響。
不到一半(44%)的加拿大人認爲該國將在2024年年底之前進入衰退。然而,在那些表示我們正處於衰退中或將在2024年年底之前進入衰退的人中,最常提到的準備措施是減少支出(71%)、增加儲蓄(36%)和償還債務(33%)。
As the Bank of Canada continues to reduce interest rates, the number of Canadians choosing to pay down their debt faster may increase as they see some relief on their monthly payments.
隨着加拿大銀行繼續降低利率,選擇更快償還債務的加拿大人數可能會增加,因爲他們會看到每月還款的減輕。
Home purchases take a back seat as interest rates and prices remain a concern
In the current high interest environment, over three quarters (76%) of Canadians said that they were unlikely to purchase a new home in the coming year – up from 72% in Q4 2023.
房屋購買退居次要,因爲利率和價格仍然令人擔憂
在當前的高利率環境中,超過四分之三(76%)的加拿大人表示他們在明年不太可能購買新房——高於2023年第四季度的72%。
Of those who were considering buying a new home in the coming year, 59% (down from 63% in Q4 2023) said that rising home prices would deter them making a new home purchase (down from 63% in Q4 2023), followed by 44% who reported that rising interest rates would discourage them (down from 52% a year ago). Among those considering purchasing a new home in the next year, the generation who were the most concerned about rising housing prices was Gen X at 65%. The generation who cited lack of home availability the most was Gen Z at 40% (up from just 5% a year ago) and rising interest rates was cited the most by Millennials at 51%.
在考慮在明年購買新房的人中,59%(低於2023年第四季度的63%)表示上漲的房價會阻止他們進行新房購買(低於2023年第四季度的63%),其次是44%的人報告稱上漲的利率會讓他們感到沮喪(相比一年前的52%有所下降)。在考慮在未來一年購買新房的人中,對房價上漲感到最擔憂的是X世代,佔65%。而對住房供應不足感到最嚴重的則是Z世代,佔40%(相比一年前僅爲5%增加),而對利率上漲感到最擔憂的是千禧一代,佔51%。
Discretionary spending cuts - a tool to ease economic pressure
As Canadians continue to navigate a tough economic environment, many report reducing discretionary spending to possibly open more cash flow for essentials like groceries and gas.
削減非必需支出 - 以緩解經濟壓力的工具
隨着加拿大人繼續應對艱難的經濟環境,許多人報告稱減少非必需支出,以便可能爲諸如雜貨和燃料等必需品提供更多現金流。
Among Canadians who said they cut back on discretionary spending like dining out, travel and entertainment in the last three months, these are the types of spending they reported decreasing in that time:
在過去三個月中,加拿大人表示減少了外出就餐、旅行和娛樂等可自由支配的開支,以下是他們在此期間減少的開支類型:
- Dining out (84%)
- Clothing and accessories (59%)
- Food delivery / ordering in (58%)
- Entertainment and media (50%)
- Large purchases (furniture, appliances, cars, etc.) (47%)
- Travel (48%)
- Home improvement (33%)
- Electronics (30%)
- Toys and hobbies (28%)
- 外出就餐(84%)
- 品牌服飾(59%)
- 外賣概念(58%)
- 娛樂和媒體(50%)
- 大額消費(傢具、家電、汽車等)(47%)
- 旅行(48%)
- 家居改善(33%)
- 電子產品(30%)
- 玩具和愛好(28%)
*The most recent Consumer Pulse study includes a survey of 1,000 Canadian adult consumers conducted Sept 25 – Oct 6, 2024.
*最新的消費脈搏研究包括對1,000名加拿大成年消費者的調查,調查時間爲2024年9月25日至10月6日。
**Generations are defined in this research as follows: Gen Z, 18–26 years old; Millennials, 27–42 years old; Gen X, 43–58 years old; and Baby Boomers, age 59 and above.
**本研究中的各代定義如下:Z世代,18至26歲;千禧一代,27至42歲;X世代,43至58歲;嬰兒潮一代,59歲及以上。
About TransUnion (NYSE: TRU)
關於TransUnion(紐交所:TRU)
TransUnion is a global information and insights company with over 13,000 associates operating in more than 30 countries, including Canada, where we're the credit bureau of choice for the financial services ecosystem and most of Canada's largest banks. We make trust possible by ensuring each person is reliably represented in the marketplace. We do this by providing an actionable view of consumers, stewarded with care.
TransUnion是一家全球貨幣信息和洞察公司,擁有超過13,000名員工,在包括加拿大在內的30多個國家運營。在加拿大,我們是金融服務生態系統和大多數大型銀行的首選信用局。我們通過確保每個人在市場上的可靠代表來實現信任。我們通過提供消費者的可操作視圖,細心管理這一過程。
Through our acquisitions and technology investments we have developed innovative solutions that extend beyond our strong foundation in core credit into areas such as marketing, fraud, risk and advanced analytics. As a result, consumers and businesses can transact with confidence and achieve great things. We call this Information for Good — and it leads to economic opportunity, great experiences and personal empowerment for millions of people around the world.
通過我們的收購和科技投資,我們開發了超越核心信用的創新解決方案,涉及市場營銷、欺詐、風險和愛文思控股分析等領域。因此,消費者和企業可以自信地進行交易,實現偉大的成就。我們稱之爲善用信息——這爲全球數百萬人帶來了經濟機會、良好的體驗和個人賦權。
For more information visit:
有關更多信息,請訪問:
For more information or to request an interview, contact:
欲了解更多信息或申請面試,請聯繫:
Contact: Katie Duffy
E-mail: katie.duffy@ketchum.com
Telephone: +1 647-772-0969
聯繫人:凱蒂·達菲
電子郵件: katie.duffy@ketchum.com
電話: +1 647-772-0969
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。