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Silicon Motion Technology Corporation's (NASDAQ:SIMO) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation's (NASDAQ:SIMO) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

慧榮科技公司(納斯達克:SIMO)的股票最近表現出疲軟,但財務前景看起來不錯:市場是否看錯了?
Simply Wall St ·  01/07 18:15

It is hard to get excited after looking at Silicon Motion Technology's (NASDAQ:SIMO) recent performance, when its stock has declined 6.5% over the past three months. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on Silicon Motion Technology's ROE.

在看到慧榮科技(納斯達克:SIMO)最近的表現後,很難感到興奮,因爲其股票在過去三個月中下降了6.5%。然而,該公司的基本面看起來相當不錯,長期財務通常與未來市場價格走勢相一致。在這篇文章中,我們決定專注于慧榮科技的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股東權益回報率或ROE是股東需考慮的重要因素,因爲它表明他們的資本再投資的有效性。簡而言之,ROE顯示每一美元在股東投資方面產生的利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Silicon Motion Technology is:

因此,根據上述公式,慧榮科技的ROE爲:

11% = US$89m ÷ US$810m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

11% = 8900萬美元 ÷ 81000萬美元(基於截至2024年9月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.11 in profit.

「回報」是指過去十二個月的利潤。一種概念化的方式是,對於每1美元的股東資本,公司賺取了0.11美元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。根據公司將這些利潤再投資或 "保留" 的程度,以及其有效性,我們能夠評估公司的盈利增長潛力。一般來說,其他條件相同的情況下,具有高回報率和利潤保留的公司,其增長率通常高於那些沒有這些屬性的公司。

Silicon Motion Technology's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

慧榮科技的收益增長和11%的ROE

To begin with, Silicon Motion Technology seems to have a respectable ROE. Even when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE looks quite decent. Despite this, Silicon Motion Technology's five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,慧榮科技似乎擁有一個可觀的ROE。即使與行業平均水平11%相比,該公司的ROE看起來也相當不錯。儘管如此,慧榮科技過去五年的凈利潤增長相對平穩。基於這一點,我們認爲可能還有其他原因尚未在本文中討論,這可能會妨礙公司的增長。例如,公司支付了很大一部分收益作爲分紅派息,或面臨競爭壓力。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Silicon Motion Technology's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 20% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下來,在與行業凈利潤增長進行比較時,我們發現慧榮科技報告的增長低於行業在過去幾年內20%的增長,這並不是我們希望看到的。

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NasdaqGS:SIMO Past Earnings Growth January 7th 2025
納斯達克GS:SIMO過往收益增長2025年1月7日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Silicon Motion Technology is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值的重要因素。投資者接下來需要判斷的是,預期的盈利增長或不存在的盈利增長是否已經融入股價中。這有助於他們判斷股票的未來是光明還是黯淡。預期盈利增長的一個良好指標是市盈率,它判斷市場願意爲股票支付多少價格,基於其盈利前景。因此,您可能想檢查一下慧榮科技相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Silicon Motion Technology Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

慧榮科技有效利用其留存盈利嗎?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 28% (implying that the company keeps 72% of its income) over the last three years, Silicon Motion Technology has seen a negligible amount of growth in earnings as we saw above. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管在過去三年中,公司的三年中位數派息比率爲28%(這意味着公司保留72%的收入),但正如我們上面所看到的,慧榮科技的盈利增長微乎其微。因此,可能還有其他原因來解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能處於下滑狀態。

In addition, Silicon Motion Technology has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 35% over the next three years. However, Silicon Motion Technology's future ROE is expected to rise to 18% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

此外,慧榮科技至少在過去十年中一直在支付分紅,這表明保持分紅支付對管理層來說遠比業務增長更重要。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,預計公司未來的派息比率將在未來三年內上升至35%。然而,儘管預計公司的派息比率將增加,慧榮科技未來的ROE預計將上升至18%。我們推斷,可能還有其他因素在推動公司ROE預期增長。

Summary

總結

In total, it does look like Silicon Motion Technology has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總的來說,慧榮科技的業務確實有一些積極的方面。 然而,低收入增長讓人有些擔憂,尤其是考慮到公司有高回報率並且正在將大部分利潤再投資。 從表面上看,可能還有一些其他因素,並不完全在業務的控制之中,這阻礙了增長。 話雖如此,看看當前的分析師預估,我們發現公司的收益有望獲得動力。 要了解更多關於公司未來收益增長預測的信息,請查看這份免費的公司分析師預測報告。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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