This Key Bond Market Gauge Predicted Major Wall Street Crashes: Is 50% Drop Looming In 2025?
This Key Bond Market Gauge Predicted Major Wall Street Crashes: Is 50% Drop Looming In 2025?
這個關鍵的債券型市場指標預測了華爾街的重大崩盤:2025年會出現50%的下跌嗎?
A critical bond market indicator is flashing red, reigniting fears of a potential stock market collapse. The yield differential between the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond and three-month Treasury bills, often dubbed as one of the most reliable recession predictor, recently switched from negative to positive territory.
一個關鍵的債券市場指標正在發出警報,再次引發對股票市場崩潰的擔憂。10年期美國國債和三個月國庫券之間的收益差異,通常被稱爲最可靠的衰退預測指標之一,最近從負值轉爲正值。
Historically, this rare shift has been a harbinger of sharp market declines and economic downturns.
歷史上,這種罕見的變化常常是市場劇烈下跌和經濟衰退的預兆。
"The most widely followed yield curve has just un-inverted. This is quite a rare signal that's almost perfectly predicted every recession in modern history," Bravos Research wrote in a Monday newsletter to subscribers.
"最廣泛關注的收益率曲線剛剛解除倒掛。這是一個相當罕見的信號,幾乎完美預測了現代歷史上的每次衰退," Bravos Research在週一給訂閱用戶數的新聞快訊中寫道。
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