Abercrombie & Fitch Co.'s (NYSE:ANF) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 19x and even P/E's above 34x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Abercrombie & Fitch has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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How Is Abercrombie & Fitch's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Abercrombie & Fitch's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 146% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 134% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 5.3% as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Abercrombie & Fitch is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Abercrombie & Fitch's P/E
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Abercrombie & Fitch's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Abercrombie & Fitch that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Abercrombie & Fitch, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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