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The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at CONMED (NYSE:CNMD) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at CONMED (NYSE:CNMD) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

ConMed(紐約證券交易所:CNMD)的三年基礎盈利增長前景良好,但在這段時間內股東仍處於虧損狀態。
Simply Wall St ·  01/03 20:24

Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term CONMED Corporation (NYSE:CNMD) shareholders. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 54% drop in the share price over that period. And over the last year the share price fell 38%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 10% in thirty days.

投資股票不可避免地意味着購買一些表現不佳的公司。但過去三年,對長期的ConMed公司(紐交所:CNMD)股東來說尤其艱難。遺憾的是,他們不得不應對在這一時期內股價下跌了54%。在過去的一年裏,股價下跌了38%,所以我們懷疑許多股東對此都不會感到高興。不幸的是,股價的趨勢依然相當消極,在三十天內價格下跌了10%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務的表現。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, CONMED actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 26% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在這三年股價下跌的不幸時期,ConMed的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年提高了26%。考慮到股價反應,人們可能會懷疑在此期間每股收益並不是判斷業務表現的好指標(可能由於一次性損失或收益)。另外,過去的增長預期可能是不合理的。

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由於EPS的變化似乎與股價的變化沒有相關性,值得關注其他指標。

With a rather small yield of just 1.2% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. Revenue is actually up 9.7% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching CONMED more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

由於僅有1.2%的頗小收益,我們懷疑股票的股價是否基於其分紅派息。營業收入在三年內實際上增長了9.7%,因此股價下跌似乎也不是因爲營業收入下降。這個分析僅僅是走過場,但可能值得對ConMed進行更深入的研究,因爲有時候股票會被不公平地打壓。這可能會帶來機會。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

big
NYSE:CNMD Earnings and Revenue Growth January 3rd 2025
紐交所:CNMD 每股收益和營業收入增長 2025年1月3日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on CONMED

我們認爲內部人士在過去一年中進行了重大購買是積極的。話雖如此,大多數人認爲每股收益和營業收入增長趨勢是指導業務更有意義的依據。這個顯示分析師預測的免費報告應有助於你形成對ConMed的看法。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Investors in CONMED had a tough year, with a total loss of 38% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 26%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with CONMED (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

ConMed的投資者去年經歷了艱難的一年,總損失達38%(包括分紅派息),而市場的增長約爲26%。即使是好的股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於感興趣之前看到業務的基本指標的改善。不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明存在未解決的挑戰,因爲它的年化損失超過了過去五年6%的損失。我們意識到巴倫·羅斯柴爾德曾說投資者應該在街頭有人流血時「買入」,但我們提醒投資者首先要確保他們買入的是高質量的企業。我發現從長遠來看觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。考慮到投資風險這一始終存在的陰影。我們發現與ConMed相關的2個警告信號(至少有1個是無法忽視的),理解這些信號應成爲你投資過程的一部分。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).

如果你喜歡與管理層一起買入股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:它們中的大多數都在雷達下飛行)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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