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Is Dycom Industries (NYSE:DY) A Risky Investment?

Is Dycom Industries (NYSE:DY) A Risky Investment?

戴康工業(紐交所:DY)是一個風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/02 20:58

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Dycom Industries, Inc. (NYSE:DY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍華德·馬克斯很好地表達了這一點,他說,與其擔心股票價格的波動,'我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性……而我知道的每一個實際投資者也都擔心這一點。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多危險時,我們總是喜歡關注它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致毀滅。 我們注意到戴康工業公司(紐交所:DY)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是股東是否應該擔心它的債務使用呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

何時債務成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆還款時才成爲真正的問題,無論是通過融資還是通過自身現金流。如果情況真的變得很糟,貸款人可以控制業務。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們常看到負債公司由於貸款人的迫使,永久性地稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以困境價格融資。當然,債務的好處在於,特別是在替代 dilution 的公司有能力以高回報率進行再投資時,它往往代表了廉價資本。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首要任務是查看其現金與債務的狀況。

What Is Dycom Industries's Net Debt?

戴康工業公司的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at October 2024 Dycom Industries had debt of US$1.10b, up from US$966.9m in one year. However, it does have US$30.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.07b.

下面的圖片,您可以點擊以獲取更多詳細信息,顯示截至2024年10月,戴康工業的債務爲11億美元,較一年前的96690萬美元上漲。 然而,它有3040萬美元的現金來抵消這些債務,導致淨債務約爲10.7億美元。

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NYSE:DY Debt to Equity History January 2nd 2025
紐交所:DY 債務與股本歷史 2025年1月2日

A Look At Dycom Industries' Liabilities

關於戴康工業的負債情況

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Dycom Industries had liabilities of US$608.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.27b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$30.4m as well as receivables valued at US$1.72b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$126.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到戴康工業在12個月內有60850萬美元的負債,在此之後有12.7億美元的負債。爲抵消這些義務,它擁有3040萬美元的現金以及在12個月內到期的17.2億美元的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的組合多出12680萬美元。

Given Dycom Industries has a market capitalization of US$5.08b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

考慮到戴康工業的市值爲50.8億美元,難以相信這些負債會構成太大威脅。但負債數量相對充足,我們當然建議股東繼續關注資產負債表。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了衡量一家公司相對於其收益的債務水平,我們計算其淨負債與利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及其利息和稅項前利潤(EBIT)與其利息支出(利息支付比率)的比率。因此,我們考慮了包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務的情況。

Dycom Industries's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.0 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.6 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. We saw Dycom Industries grow its EBIT by 3.6% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Dycom Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

戴康工業的淨債務爲其EBITDA的2.0倍,而其EBIT去年的利息支出覆蓋了5.6倍。雖然這些數字並沒有讓我們感到驚慌,但值得注意的是,公司債務的成本確實產生了實際影響。我們看到戴康工業在過去12個月裏EBIT增長了3.6%。儘管這不算讓我們驚喜,但在債務方面這是一個積極的因素。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定戴康工業是否能在未來增強其資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,展示分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Dycom Industries actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

最後,雖然稅務機關可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,合理的步驟是查看EBIT與實際自由現金流的匹配比例。考慮到過去三年,戴康工業整體上實際記錄了現金流出。對於現金流不可靠的公司而言,債務風險更大,因此股東應該希望過去的支出能在未來產生自由現金流。

Our View

我們的觀點

Dycom Industries's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example, its level of total liabilities is relatively strong. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Dycom Industries is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Dycom Industries has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

戴康工業在將EBIT轉換爲自由現金流方面的掙扎讓我們對其資產負債表的實力產生了懷疑,但我們考慮的其他數據點相對較好。例如,其總負債水平相對較強。從上述所有角度來看,我們確實認爲,戴康工業由於其債務,是一種風險較高的投資。這並不一定是壞事,因爲槓桿可以提高股本回報,但這是需要注意的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學習到大部分有關債務的知識。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。例如,戴康工業有1個警告信號,我們認爲你應該注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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