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We Think Coca-Cola FEMSA. De (NYSE:KOF) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Coca-Cola FEMSA. De (NYSE:KOF) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲可口可樂凡薩瓶裝(紐交所:KOF)能夠保持在債務之上。
Simply Wall St ·  01/02 20:37

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. (NYSE:KOF) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人說,與債務相比,波動性是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾著名地說過:'波動性與風險遠非同義詞。' 在你檢查一家公司有多危險時,自然會考慮其資產負債表,因爲債務通常在企業倒閉時涉及其中。我們注意到,可口可樂凡薩瓶裝(NYSE:KOF)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但這債務對股東來說是個問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時會變得危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果一家公司無法償還其借款人,那麼它就處於他們的掌控之中。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制這家企業。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情形是,它不得不以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東權益。當然,債務可以在企業中發揮重要作用,特別是在資本密集型企業中。考慮一家公司的債務水平的第一步是將其現金與債務一起考慮。

What Is Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's Net Debt?

可口可樂凡薩瓶裝的淨債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Coca-Cola FEMSA. de had Mex$75.6b of debt, an increase on Mex$70.3b, over one year. However, it also had Mex$41.5b in cash, and so its net debt is Mex$34.1b.

你可以點擊下方的圖形查看歷史數據,但數據顯示,截至2024年9月,可口可樂凡薩瓶裝的債務爲756億墨西哥披索,比一年前的703億墨西哥披索有所增加。然而,它也有415億墨西哥披索的現金,因此其淨債務爲341億墨西哥披索。

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NYSE:KOF Debt to Equity History January 2nd 2025
紐交所:KOF 債務與股本比率歷史 2025年1月2日

How Strong Is Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's Balance Sheet?

可口可樂凡薩瓶裝的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Coca-Cola FEMSA. de had liabilities of Mex$70.9b due within a year, and liabilities of Mex$89.2b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of Mex$41.5b and Mex$21.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling Mex$96.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,可口可樂凡薩瓶裝的短期負債爲709億墨西哥披索,長期負債爲892億墨西哥披索。另一方面,它的現金爲415億墨西哥披索,短期應收賬款爲219億墨西哥披索。因此,其負債總額爲967億墨西哥披索,超過了其現金和短期應收賬款的總和。

Coca-Cola FEMSA. de has a very large market capitalization of Mex$340.8b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

可口可樂凡薩瓶裝的市值非常大,達到3408億墨西哥披索,因此如果需要的話,它很可能能夠籌集現金來改善其資產負債表。不過,仍然值得密切關注其償還債務的能力。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了評估一家公司的債務相對於其收益的情況,我們計算其淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及息稅利潤(EBIT)與利息費用(即利息覆蓋)的比率。這種方法的優點在於我們同時考慮到債務的絕對數額(使用淨債務與EBITDA的比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息支出(使用利息覆蓋率)。

With net debt sitting at just 0.74 times EBITDA, Coca-Cola FEMSA. de is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 8.0 times, which is more than adequate. And we also note warmly that Coca-Cola FEMSA. de grew its EBIT by 12% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

由於淨債務僅爲EBITDA的0.74倍,可口可樂凡薩瓶裝可以說是相當保守的槓桿比例。它的利息覆蓋率爲8.0倍,完全足夠。此外,我們也注意到可口可樂凡薩瓶裝去年的EBIT增長了12%,使其債務負擔更容易處理。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點關注的領域。但未來的收益比任何其他因素更能判斷可口可樂凡薩瓶裝在未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Coca-Cola FEMSA. de produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但我們的最後考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司不能用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷冰冰的現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是看看EBIT中有多少與實際自由現金流相匹配。在過去三年中,可口可樂凡薩瓶裝產生了相當穩定的自由現金流,佔其EBIT的64%,這大致是我們所期望的。這一自由現金流使公司在適當的時候具備減輕債務的良好條件。

Our View

我們的觀點

Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's net debt to EBITDA suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Coca-Cola FEMSA. de takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. Another positive for shareholders is that it pays dividends. So if you like receiving those dividend payments, check Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's dividend history, without delay!

可口可樂凡薩瓶裝的淨債務與EBITDA比率表明,它能夠像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多對抗一個14歲以下的守門員那樣輕鬆處理債務。這只是好消息的開端,因爲它將EBIT轉換爲自由現金流的能力也非常令人振奮。考慮到所有這些數據,我們認爲可口可樂凡薩瓶裝對待債務的方式相當謹慎。雖然這帶來了一些風險,但也可以增強股東的回報。另一個對股東有利的方面是它支付分紅派息。因此,如果您喜歡收到這些分紅派息,務必查看可口可樂凡薩瓶裝的分紅派息歷史!

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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