Investing in ABM Industries (NYSE:ABM) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 47% Gain
Investing in ABM Industries (NYSE:ABM) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 47% Gain
ABM Industries Incorporated (NYSE:ABM) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 10% in the last month. But the silver lining is the stock is up over five years. However we are not very impressed because the share price is only up 34%, less than the market return of 95%.
反導工業(紐交所:ABM)的股東可能會擔心,在過去一個月中,股價下跌了10%。但好的一面是,股票在過去五年中上漲了。然而,我們並不是很滿意,因爲股價僅上漲了34%,低於市場回報的95%。
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
現在值得關注一下公司的基本面,因爲這將幫助我們判斷長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
在他的論文《Graham與Doddsville的超級投資者》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性反映業務價值的原因。通過比較每股收益(每股收益)和股價變化,我們可以感受到投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間而變化。
During five years of share price growth, ABM Industries actually saw its EPS drop 7.3% per year.
在五年的股價增長中,反導工業的每股收益實際上每年下降了7.3%。
This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
這意味着市場不太可能根據盈利增長來評估公司。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化沒有關聯,因此值得關注其他指標。
On the other hand, ABM Industries' revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 7.6% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
另一方面,反導工業的營業收入在過去五年以7.6%的複合增長率穩步增長。在這種情況下,公司可能爲了推動增長而犧牲了當前的每股收益。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。
This free interactive report on ABM Industries' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
這份關於反導工業資產負債表強度的免費互動報告是一個很好的開始,如果你想進一步研究這隻股票。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, ABM Industries' TSR for the last 5 years was 47%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股票價格回報,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算方法,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設所收到的分紅已被再投資)以及任何折扣資本募資和分拆的計算價值。可以說,TSR提供了更全面的股票回報情況。實際上,反導工業在過去五年的TSR爲47%,超過了前面提到的股票價格回報。而且,大家都知道,分紅支付主要解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
ABM Industries shareholders are up 17% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 8% over half a decade It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand ABM Industries better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for ABM Industries (1 is potentially serious) that you should be aware of.
反導工業的股東今年的收益增長了17%(即使包括分紅派息)。不幸的是,這仍然低於市場回報。 好消息是,這仍然是一個收益,實際上比過去五年平均8%的回報更好。 回報可能會與業務基本面一同改善。 跟蹤股票價格的長期表現總是很有趣。但要更好地了解反導工業,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。 例如,我們識別出反導工業的3個警告信號(其中1個可能是嚴重的),這是你需要注意的。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你更傾向於查看其他公司——一個財務狀況可能更優的公司——那麼不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,它們已經證明能夠實現盈利增長。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。