Investors in Lennar (NYSE:LEN) Have Seen Impressive Returns of 152% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in Lennar (NYSE:LEN) Have Seen Impressive Returns of 152% Over the Past Five Years
It hasn't been the best quarter for Lennar Corporation (NYSE:LEN) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 27% in that time. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been very strong. We think most investors would be happy with the 136% return, over that period. So while it's never fun to see a share price fall, it's important to look at a longer time horizon. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.
對於Lennar公司(紐交所:LEN)的股東來說,這並不是一個最佳的季度,因爲在這段時間內股價下跌了27%。但這並不改變過去五年回報相當強勁的事實。我們認爲大多數投資者會對這一期間的136%回報感到滿意。因此,儘管看到股價下跌並不有趣,但重要的是要從更長的時間視角來看待這個問題。只有時間能告訴我們目前股價中是否仍然反映了過多的樂觀情緒。
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
因此讓我們調查一下,看看該公司的長期表現是否與其基礎業務的進展相符。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
在他的論文《Graham與Doddsville的超級投資者》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性反映業務價值的原因。通過比較每股收益(每股收益)和股價變化,我們可以感受到投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間而變化。
Over half a decade, Lennar managed to grow its earnings per share at 20% a year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 19% per year. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.
在過去的五年中,Lennar的每股收益年增長率達到了20%。因此,每股收益的增長率與年化股價增幅接近19%。因此,人們可以得出結論,市場對該股的情緒變化不大。相反,股價大致跟隨每股收益的增長。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。
We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free interactive report on Lennar's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
我們認爲內部人士在過去一年中進行了大量購買是一個積極信號。 儘管如此,大多數人認爲每股收益和營業收入增長趨勢對業務更具指導意義。 如果您想進一步研究這隻股票,這份關於Lennar的每股收益、營業收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個不錯的開始。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Lennar's TSR for the last 5 years was 152%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,考慮總股東回報(TSR)與股票價格回報之間的差異非常重要。 TSR考慮了任何分拆或折扣融資的價值,以及任何分紅,假設這些分紅是再投資的。 可以說,TSR提供了對股票產生的回報的更全面的畫面。 順便提一下,Lennar在過去五年的TSR爲152%,超過了之前提到的股票價格回報。 猜測一下,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Lennar shareholders are down 6.8% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 26%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 20%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Lennar that you should be aware of before investing here.
Lennar的股東今年下跌了6.8%(即使包括分紅),但市場本身上漲了26%。 即使是優秀股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望看到企業基本指標的改善,才會更加關注。 長期投資者不會如此沮喪,因爲他們每年在五年中獲得了20%的收益。 如果基本數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,目前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。 而考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響是非常值得的,但還有其他更重要的因素。 例如,我們發現了1個關於Lennar的警告信號,您在這裏投資前應該了解。
Lennar is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.
Lennar並不是唯一被內部人士買入的股票。因此,查看一下這個內部人士已經購買的吸引估值的小盤公司免費列表吧。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。