There wouldn't be many who think Hagerty, Inc.'s (NYSE:HGTY) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Insurance industry in the United States is similar at about 1.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does Hagerty's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been advantageous for Hagerty as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hagerty will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is Hagerty's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Hagerty's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 21%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 97% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 14% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 3.9% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Hagerty's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Hagerty currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Hagerty with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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