The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at American Assets Trust (NYSE:AAT) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at American Assets Trust (NYSE:AAT) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term American Assets Trust, Inc. (NYSE:AAT) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 43% over a half decade.
理想情況下,你的整體投資組合應該超過市場平均水平。但在任何投資組合中,個別股票的表現會有不同。因此,我們不會責怪長揸美國資產信託公司(紐交所:AAT)股票的股東懷疑他們持有的決定,因爲該股票在五年內下跌了43%。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
雖然有效市場假說仍然會被一些人教授,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。考察市場情緒隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
While the share price declined over five years, American Assets Trust actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 4.3% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.
雖然共享價格在五年內有所下降,但美國資產信託公司實際上平均每年將每股收益(EPS)提高了4.3%。所以,似乎每股收益並不是理解市場如何評估該股票的好指標。或者,也可能是市場之前非常樂觀,因此儘管每股收益改善,股票卻令人失望。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, five years ago. Having said that, we might get a better idea of what's going on with the stock by looking at other metrics.
通過瀏覽這些數字,我們可以假設五年前市場對更高的增長有預期。話雖如此,通過查看其他指標,我們可能會更好地了解股票的情況。
The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. While it's not completely obvious why the share price is down, a closer look at the company's history might help explain it.
穩定的分紅並不能完全解釋爲什麼股價下跌。儘管股價下跌的原因並不完全明顯,但更仔細地查看公司的歷史可能有助於解釋這一點。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的圖像顯示了收益和營業收入隨時間的變化情況(如果點擊圖像,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
It is of course excellent to see how American Assets Trust has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
當然,看到美國資產信託多年來利潤的增長是非常不錯的,但未來對股東來說更爲重要。查看我們關於其財務狀況隨時間變化的免費報告是非常值得的。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for American Assets Trust the TSR over the last 5 years was -28%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR包括分紅的價值(假設被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於那些支付豐厚分紅的公司,TSR通常遠高於股價回報。我們注意到,對於美國資產信託來說,過去5年的TSR爲-28%,這比上面提到的股價回報要好。而且,顯而易見的是,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
American Assets Trust shareholders are up 22% for the year (even including dividends). But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 5% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with American Assets Trust (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
美國資產信託的股東今年的收益增長了22%(包括分紅派息在內)。但這仍低於市場平均水平。好的一面是,這仍然是一個收益,肯定比過去五年遭受的約5%的年度損失要好。因此,這可能是業務扭轉局面的跡象。 雖然考慮市場狀況對股票價格的不同影響是非常重要的,但還有其他因素更爲關鍵。例如,投資風險的無時無刻不在的威脅。我們已經識別出美國資產信託的3個警告信號(至少有2個可能是嚴重的),理解這些信號應該是你投資過程的一部分。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你更傾向於查看其他公司——一個財務狀況可能更優的公司——那麼不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,它們已經證明能夠實現盈利增長。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。