NOV Inc.'s (NYSE:NOV) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?
NOV Inc.'s (NYSE:NOV) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?
NOV (NYSE:NOV) has had a rough three months with its share price down 15%. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on NOV's ROE.
NOV (紐交所:NOV) 在過去三個月的表現不佳,其股價下跌了15%。但如果仔細觀察,您可能會發現其強勁的財務狀況可能意味着這隻股票在長期內有可能增值,因爲市場通常會獎勵那些財務健康的公司。本文我們決定重點關注NOV的ROE。
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
ROE,即淨資產收益率,是評估公司如何有效地利用來自股東投資的工具。簡單來說,它用於評估公司相對於其股本的盈利能力。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何計算股東權益回報率?
The formula for ROE is:
ROE的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for NOV is:
因此,根據上述公式,NOV的ROE爲:
16% = US$1.1b ÷ US$6.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
16% = 11億美金 ÷ 65億美金(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月數據)。
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.16.
『回報』是過去十二個月的利潤。這意味着,對於每1美元的股東投資,公司產生了0.16美元的利潤。
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE衡量了一家公司盈利的效率。我們現在需要評估公司再投資或「保留」多少利潤以便於未來的增長,這將有助於我們了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他條件不變,擁有更高股本回報率和更高利潤留存的公司通常相比沒有相同特點的公司具有更高的增長率。
A Side By Side comparison of NOV's Earnings Growth And 16% ROE
NOV的盈利增長與16% ROE的並排對比
At first glance, NOV seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 14%. Consequently, this likely laid the ground for the impressive net income growth of 83% seen over the past five years by NOV. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.
乍一看,NOV似乎有一個不錯的ROE。此外,該公司的ROE與行業平均水平14%相似。因此,這可能爲NOV在過去五年中實現83%的凈利潤增長奠定了基礎。我們認爲這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,該公司的分紅派息比率較低,或者管理效率較高。
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that NOV's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 53% in the same period, which is great to see.
接下來,與行業的凈利潤增長相比,我們發現NOV的增長在同一時期內高於行業平均增長53%,這非常令人欣慰。
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for NOV? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.
爲公司估值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長相關。投資者應該嘗試判斷預期的盈利增長或下降,無論是哪種情況,是否已被定價。這將幫助他們判斷股票的未來是光明還是暗淡。市場是否已經考慮了NOV未來的前景?您可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案。
Is NOV Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
NOV是否有效地重新投資其利潤?
NOV has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 8.4%, meaning that it has the remaining 92% left over to reinvest into its business. So it looks like NOV is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.
NOV的三年中位數派息比率非常低,僅爲8.4%,這意味着它還有92%的利潤可以再投資於其業務。因此,NOV似乎在大量再投資利潤以發展其業務,這在其盈利增長中得到了體現。
Additionally, NOV has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 15% over the next three years. Therefore, the expected rise in the payout ratio explains why the company's ROE is expected to decline to 9.1% over the same period.
此外,NOV在至少十年的時間裏支付了分紅派息,這意味着該公司非常認真地與股東分享其利潤。通過研究最新的分析師共識數據,我們發現公司未來的派息比率預計將在未來三年內上升至15%。因此,派息比率的預期上升解釋了爲什麼公司的ROE預計在同一時期內下降至9.1%。
Conclusion
結論
In total, we are pretty happy with NOV's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. With that said, on studying the latest analyst forecasts, we found that while the company has seen growth in its past earnings, analysts expect its future earnings to shrink. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
總體來說,我們對NOV的表現感到非常滿意。具體來說,我們喜歡公司以高回報率重新投資其巨額利潤。當然,這導致公司在收益上實現了可觀的增長。話雖如此,在研究最新的分析師預測時,我們發現儘管公司過去的收益有所增長,但分析師預計其未來的收益會減少。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的整體預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊這裏訪問我們關於該公司的分析師預測頁面。
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
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