The MaxLinear, Inc. (NASDAQ:MXL) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 17% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about MaxLinear's P/S ratio of 4.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Semiconductor industry in the United States is about the same. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does MaxLinear's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
MaxLinear hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
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Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For MaxLinear?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, MaxLinear would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 54%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 53% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 15% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 25% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that MaxLinear's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Key Takeaway
MaxLinear's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of MaxLinear's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with MaxLinear.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on MaxLinear, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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