Is Antero Midstream (NYSE:AM) A Risky Investment?
Is Antero Midstream (NYSE:AM) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Antero Midstream Corporation (NYSE:AM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
大衛·伊本說得很好:'波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多風險時,我們總是喜歡查看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,Antero Midstream Corporation(紐交所:AM)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心它的債務使用?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時會變得危險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還其債權人,那它就處於他們的擺佈之中。在最糟糕的情況下,如果公司無法償還債務,就可能破產。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是必須在低價時籌集新的股本,從而永久性稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處是,它往往代表着廉價資本,尤其是當它取代一家能夠以高回報率再投資的公司的稀釋時。在考慮一個企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的就是將其現金和債務一起考慮。
What Is Antero Midstream's Debt?
Antero Midstream的債務是多少?
As you can see below, Antero Midstream had US$3.17b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
正如你在下面看到的,Antero Midstream在2024年9月的債務爲31.7億美元,與前一年大致相同。你可以點擊圖表查看更詳細的信息。淨債務大致相同,因爲它幾乎沒有現金。
A Look At Antero Midstream's Liabilities
看一下Antero Midstream的負債情況
According to the last reported balance sheet, Antero Midstream had liabilities of US$91.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$3.56b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$26.1m and US$98.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$3.52b.
根據最後一次報告的資產負債表,Antero Midstream有9150萬美元的負債在12個月內到期,以及35.6億美元的負債在12個月之後到期。另一方面,它有2610萬美元的現金和9860萬美元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債超過了其現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和,達到了35.2億美元。
This deficit isn't so bad because Antero Midstream is worth US$7.22b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
這個赤字並不是那麼糟糕,因爲Antero Midstream的價值爲72.2億美元,因此如果有需要,它很可能能夠籌集足夠的資本來支撐其資產負債表。然而,仔細查看其償債能力仍然是值得的。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我們使用兩個主要比率來了解相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是它的息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出的次數(或者簡稱爲利息覆蓋率)。這樣,我們同時考慮債務的絕對數量以及所支付的利率。
Antero Midstream has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.7 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.1 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. The good news is that Antero Midstream improved its EBIT by 5.3% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Antero Midstream's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Antero Midstream的負債與EBITDA比率爲3.7,它的EBIT覆蓋了利息支出3.1倍。這表明儘管負債水平顯著,但我們不至於稱其爲有問題的好消息是,Antero Midstream在過去的十二個月中將EBIT提高了5.3%,從而逐步降低了其相對於收益的負債水平。在分析負債水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個明顯的起點。但無論如何,未來的收益將決定Antero Midstream是否能夠維持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會對這份關於分析師利潤預測的自由報告感興趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Antero Midstream produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 72% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,業務需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本不足。因此,我們總是會檢查多少EBIT轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,Antero Midstream產生了強勁的自由現金流,佔其EBIT的72%,這大約是我們所期望的。這種自由現金流讓公司在適當的時候能夠很好地償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Antero Midstream was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to cover its interest expense with its EBIT. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Antero Midstream's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Antero Midstream that you should be aware of before investing here.
當談到資產負債表時,Antero Midstream的一個突出積極因素是,它似乎能夠自信地將EBIT轉換爲自由現金流。但我們上面提到的其他因素並不那麼令人鼓舞。例如,它似乎必須在用EBIT覆蓋利息費用上稍顯吃力。當我們考慮上述所有因素時,我們確實對Antero Midstream的債務使用感到有些謹慎。雖然我們欣賞債務可以增強股本回報,但我們建議股東密切關注其債務水平,以免其增加。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識是最多的。但最終,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現Antero Midstream有2個警告信號,在你投資前你應該了解這些。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
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