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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About BorgWarner Inc. (NYSE:BWA)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About BorgWarner Inc. (NYSE:BWA)?

股價下跌與良好的財務狀況:市場對博格華納公司(紐交所:BWA)是否判斷錯誤?
Simply Wall St ·  12/22 20:06

It is hard to get excited after looking at BorgWarner's (NYSE:BWA) recent performance, when its stock has declined 7.2% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Particularly, we will be paying attention to BorgWarner's ROE today.

在查看博格華納(紐交所:BWA)最近的表現後,很難感到興奮,因爲其股票在過去三個月中下跌了7.2%。但是如果你仔細觀察,你會發現其關鍵的財務指標看起來相當不錯,這可能意味着該股票在長期內有潛在上漲的可能性,因爲市場通常會獎勵更具韌性的長期基本面。尤其是,我們今天將關注博格華納的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

淨資產收益率(ROE)是評估公司管理層如何有效利用公司資本的關鍵指標。簡單來說,它衡量了公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for BorgWarner is:

因此,根據上述公式,博格華納的ROE爲:

15% = US$984m ÷ US$6.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

15% = 98400萬美元 ÷ 64億美元(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.15 in profit.

「回報」是指公司過去一年的收益。另一個理解方式是,對於每1美元的股權,公司能夠賺取0.15美元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有何關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經確定,ROE是公司未來收益的一種有效利潤生成指標。現在,我們需要評估公司 reinvests 或 "保留" 多少利潤以實現未來增長,這將給我們一個關於公司增長潛力的概念。在其他條件相同的情況下,擁有更高淨資產收益率和更高利潤保留的公司通常與沒有相同特徵的公司相比,具有更高的增長率。

BorgWarner's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

博格華納的盈利增長和15%的ROE

To start with, BorgWarner's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 11%. Yet, BorgWarner has posted measly growth of 4.8% over the past five years. This is interesting as the high returns should mean that the company has the ability to generate high growth but for some reason, it hasn't been able to do so. A few likely reasons why this could happen is that the company could have a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

首先,博格華納的ROE看起來是可接受的。此外,該公司的ROE與行業平均水平11%相比表現相當良好。然而,博格華納在過去五年中僅實現了4.8%的微弱增長。這很有趣,因爲高回報意味着公司有能力產生高增長,但出於某種原因,它未能做到這一點。導致這種情況發生的一些可能原因是公司可能有較高的分紅派息比率,或者業務的資本配置不當。

As a next step, we compared BorgWarner's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 14% in the same period.

作爲下一步,我們將博格華納的凈利潤增長與行業進行了比較,結果令人失望地看到該公司的增長低於同期行業平均增長14%。

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NYSE:BWA Past Earnings Growth December 22nd 2024
紐交所:BWA 過去的盈利增長 2024年12月22日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is BorgWarner fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

對公司的估值基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長相關。投資者應該嘗試確定預期的盈利增長或下降,無論是哪種情況,是否已被市場定價。通過這樣做,他們將對股票是否前景光明還是面臨困境有一個了解。博格華納與其他公司相比是否被合理估值?這三項估值指標可能會幫助你做出決定。

Is BorgWarner Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

博格華納是否有效利用其利潤?

A low three-year median payout ratio of 22% (implying that the company retains the remaining 78% of its income) suggests that BorgWarner is retaining most of its profits. This should be reflected in its earnings growth number, but that's not the case. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

低至22%的三年中位支付比例(意味着公司保留了剩餘的78%的收入)表明博格華納在保留大部分利潤。這應該體現在其盈利增長數字上,但事實並非如此。因此在這方面可能有其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能在惡化。

Moreover, BorgWarner has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 10.0% over the next three years. Despite the lower expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.

此外,博格華納已連續支付分紅至少十年,表明管理層必須意識到股東更喜歡分紅而不是盈利增長。我們最新的分析師數據表明,未來三年公司的支付比例預計將下降至10.0%。儘管預期支付比例下降,但公司的ROE預計不會有太大變化。

Conclusion

結論

In total, it does look like BorgWarner has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總體來看,博格華納的業務似乎有一些積極的方面。 然而,低收益增長讓人有些擔憂,特別是考慮到公司擁有較高的回報率,並且正在將巨額利潤再投資。從表面上看,可能有一些其他因素,而不一定是業務控制範圍內的,阻礙了增長。 在研究當前分析師的估計時,我們發現分析師預計公司將繼續近期的增長勢頭。 要了解更多關於公司未來收益增長預測的信息,請查看關於公司分析師預測的免費報告,以獲取更多信息。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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