Is Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Is Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Lyft, Inc. (NASDAQ:LYFT) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
有人說波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過「波動性遠不是風險的同義詞」。因此,聰明的錢知道,債務——通常涉及破產——是評估一家公司有多風險的一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,Lyft, Inc. (納斯達克:LYFT) 確實存在債務。但真正的問題是,這個債務是否讓公司變得高風險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆還清時才會成爲真正的問題,即通過融資或自身的現金流來償還。資本主義的一個部分是『創造性破壞』的過程,在這個過程中,失敗的企業會被他們的銀行家無情地清算。然而,一個更常見的(但仍然痛苦的)場景是,公司不得不在低價時籌集新的股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。當然,債務可以是企業中的一個重要工具,特別是資本密集型企業。當我們檢查債務水平時,首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Lyft's Debt?
Lyft 的債務是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Lyft had US$1.00b of debt, up from US$860.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has US$1.93b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$922.6m net cash.
正如您在下面看到的,截至2024年9月底,Lyft 有10億美金的債務,比一年前的86030萬美金增加。點擊圖片以獲取更多細節。但它也有19.3億美金的現金來抵消這筆債務,意味着它有92260萬美金的淨現金。
How Strong Is Lyft's Balance Sheet?
Lyft的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Lyft had liabilities of US$3.85b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$758.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.93b and US$306.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$2.37b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
從最新的資產負債表可以看出,Lyft的流動負債爲38.5億美元,長期負債爲75880萬美元。另一方面,它有19.3億美元的現金和30630萬美元的應收賬款將在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收帳款的總和多23.7億美元。
This deficit isn't so bad because Lyft is worth US$5.65b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Lyft also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Lyft's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
這個赤字並不是很嚴重,因爲Lyft的估值爲56.5億美元,因此,如果需要的話,可能能夠籌集足夠的資本來鞏固其資產負債表。然而,仔細審視其償債能力依然是值得的。雖然它確實有值得關注的負債,但Lyft的現金多於債務,因此我們很有信心它能夠安全地管理其債務。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個開始的地方。但決定Lyft未來維持健康資產負債表的,更多是未來的營業收入。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。
Over 12 months, Lyft reported revenue of US$5.5b, which is a gain of 25%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在過去的12個月中,Lyft報告的營業收入爲55億美元,增長了25%,儘管它沒有報告利息及稅前收益。希望該公司能夠通過增長實現盈利。
So How Risky Is Lyft?
那麼Lyft有多風險呢?
While Lyft lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow US$641m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. One positive is that Lyft is growing revenue apace, which makes it easier to sell a growth story and raise capital if need be. But we still think it's somewhat risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Lyft , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
雖然Lyft在息稅前收益(EBIT)層面上虧損,但它實際上產生了正的自由現金流爲64100萬美元。因此,基於當前情況,並考慮到淨現金情況,我們認爲該股票在短期內並不太風險。有一個積極的因素是Lyft的營業收入快速增長,這使得在需要時更容易出售增長故事並籌集資本。但我們仍然認爲它有些風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個開始的地方。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經識別出Lyft的一個警告信號,理解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
無論最終結果如何,有時候更容易關注那些根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費獲取一份淨債務爲零的成長股列表。
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