Here's Why Sonic Automotive (NYSE:SAH) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
Here's Why Sonic Automotive (NYSE:SAH) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Sonic Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:SAH) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,與其擔心股票價格的波動,不如擔心「永久性損失的可能性是我擔心的風險……而我認識的每一個實際投資者也都在擔心。」所以,看起來聰明的錢知道,債務——通常與破產有關——在評估公司風險時是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,索尼克汽車公司(紐交所:SAH)也利用債務。但股東是否應該擔心其債務使用呢?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果一個企業無法償還其債權人,那麼它就處於他們的掌控之中。在最壞的情況下,如果無法償還債務,該公司可能會破產。雖然這種情況並不多見,但我們常常會看到負債公司的股東被永久性稀釋,因爲債權人迫使他們以低價籌集資金。當然,許多公司利用債務來資助增長,而沒有任何負面後果。當我們考察債務水平時,首先需要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Sonic Automotive's Debt?
索尼克汽車的債務是什麼?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Sonic Automotive had debt of US$3.53b, up from US$3.07b in one year. However, it also had US$417.6m in cash, and so its net debt is US$3.11b.
下圖可點擊以獲取更詳細信息,顯示在2024年9月,索尼克汽車的債務爲35.3億美金,比去年的30.7億美金有所增加。然而,它也有41760萬美金的現金,因此其淨債務爲31.1億美金。
A Look At Sonic Automotive's Liabilities
關於索尼克汽車負債的分析
The latest balance sheet data shows that Sonic Automotive had liabilities of US$2.54b due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.20b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$417.6m and US$436.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$3.89b.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,索尼克汽車在一年內的負債爲25.4億美元,之後到期的負債爲22億美元。另一方面,它的現金爲41760萬美元,並且在一年內到期的應收款爲43660萬美元。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(短期)應收款的總和38.9億美元。
This deficit casts a shadow over the US$2.17b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Sonic Automotive would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
這一赤字給21.7億美元的公司蒙上了陰影,猶如一個巨人高聳於凡人之上。因此,我們無疑會密切關注其資產負債表。畢竟,如果索尼克汽車今天必須償還債權人,它很可能需要進行重大再融資。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們使用兩個主要指標來告知我們債務水平與盈利的關係。第一個是淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,而第二個是其息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用(或其利息覆蓋,簡稱)。這種方法的優點在於我們考慮了債務的絕對數量(通過淨債務與EBITDA比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息費用(通過其利息覆蓋比率)。
Weak interest cover of 2.3 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.3 hit our confidence in Sonic Automotive like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that Sonic Automotive saw its EBIT drop by 19% over the last twelve months. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sonic Automotive can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
2.3倍的利息覆蓋率和5.3倍的淨債務與EBITDA比率,如同一記重拳直接擊中我們對索尼克汽車的信心。這意味着我們會認爲它的債務負擔沉重。投資者還應該對索尼克汽車在過去十二個月中EBIT下降19%的事實感到擔憂。如果這種情況持續下去,管理債務負擔將猶如在蹦牀上端着熱咖啡一樣困難。分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的重點。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定索尼克汽車是否能夠隨着時間的推移增強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想了解專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告非常有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Sonic Automotive recorded free cash flow of 38% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
但我們最後的考慮同樣重要,因爲公司不能用紙上盈利來償還債務;它需要真正的現金。 因此,查看EBIt中有多少是由自由現金流支持的是值得的。 觀察過去三年,索尼克汽車的自由現金流佔EBIt的38%,這比我們預期的要弱。 這樣的現金轉換能力較弱,使得處理債務變得更加困難。
Our View
我們的觀點
On the face of it, Sonic Automotive's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Sonic Automotive has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sonic Automotive (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.
從表面上看,索尼克汽車的EBIt增長率讓我們對這隻股票持謹慎態度,而其總負債水平也沒有比一年中最繁忙之夜的那家空餐廳更吸引人。 話雖如此,它將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力卻並沒有那麼令人擔憂。 在考慮了討論的數據點後,我們認爲索尼克汽車的債務過多。這種風險對某些人來說還可以,但顯然不符合我們的口味。 資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有這些風險,而我們發現了2個索尼克汽車的警告信號(其中1個讓我們有些不安!)你應該知道。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來發現我們獨家的淨現金成長股票列表。
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
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