To the annoyance of some shareholders, InnovAge Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:INNV) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 35% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that InnovAge Holding's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Healthcare industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
How InnovAge Holding Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, InnovAge Holding has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Keen to find out how analysts think InnovAge Holding's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
InnovAge Holding's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. The latest three year period has also seen a 19% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 8.5% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that InnovAge Holding is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
InnovAge Holding's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that InnovAge Holding currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for InnovAge Holding with six simple checks.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on InnovAge Holding, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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