With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 36.5x Insmed Incorporated (NASDAQ:INSM) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Biotechs companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 9.1x and even P/S lower than 3x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Insmed's Recent Performance Look Like?
Insmed could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Insmed.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Insmed's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 22% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 97% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 75% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 115% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it concerning that Insmed is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Insmed's P/S
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Insmed, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Insmed that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Insmed's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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