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Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE:CWK) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE:CWK) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Cushman & Wakefield (紐交所:CWK) 在使用債務方面面臨一些風險
Simply Wall St ·  12/19 23:34

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Cushman & Wakefield plc (NYSE:CWK) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由巴菲特的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄直言不諱地說:『最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你會遭受永久性資本損失。』 因此,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務會拖垮一家公司。與許多其他公司一樣,Cushman & Wakefield plc (紐交所:CWK) 也利用債務。但是,這種債務對股東來說是否值得關注?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時會變得危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才會成爲真正的問題,要麼通過籌集資金,要麼通過自身的自由現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。然而,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低價發行股票,永久稀釋股東的股份,僅僅是爲了增強資產負債表。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表着廉價的資本,特別是當它替代了能夠以高回報率進行再投資的公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,首先要共同關注現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Cushman & Wakefield Carry?

Cushman & Wakefield的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Cushman & Wakefield had debt of US$3.07b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from US$3.20b over a year. However, it does have US$775.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$2.29b.

下面的圖片可以點擊查看更詳細的信息,顯示Cushman & Wakefield在2024年9月底的債務爲30.7億美元,比一年前的32億美元有所減少。然而,它有77540萬美元的現金抵消這部分,導致淨債務約爲22.9億美元。

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NYSE:CWK Debt to Equity History December 19th 2024
紐交所:CWk債務與權益歷史 2024年12月19日

How Healthy Is Cushman & Wakefield's Balance Sheet?

Cushman & Wakefield的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Cushman & Wakefield had liabilities of US$2.24b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$3.59b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$775.4m in cash and US$1.70b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$3.36b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據最近報告的資產負債表,Cushman & Wakefield的負債爲22.4億美金,12個月內到期的負債爲35.9億美金,超過12個月到期的負債則爲359億美金。 爲此,它還擁有77540萬美金的現金和17億美金的應收賬款(12個月內到期)。 所以它的負債總值比其現金及短期應收賬款的總和多出33.6億美金。

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$3.36b, we think shareholders really should watch Cushman & Wakefield's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

考慮到這一缺口實際上超過了公司33.6億美金的市值,我們認爲股東真的應該像父母第一次看着孩子騎自行車一樣關注Cushman & Wakefield的負債水平。 假設公司被迫通過在當前股價下募集資本來償還負債,極端程度的稀釋是必需的。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了評估一家公司的債務與其收益的關係,我們計算其淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及息稅前利潤(EBIT)與利息費用的比率(即利息覆蓋率)。通過這種方式,我們考慮了債務的絕對數量和所支付的利率。

While we wouldn't worry about Cushman & Wakefield's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.9, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.5 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that Cushman & Wakefield grew its EBIT a smooth 43% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Cushman & Wakefield's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

雖然我們不會擔心Cushman & Wakefield的淨債務與EBITDA的比率爲4.9,但我們認爲其僅爲1.5倍的利息覆蓋率是高槓杆的跡象。 顯然,借款成本最近對股東收益產生了負面影響。 好消息是Cushman & Wakefield在過去十二個月裏EBIT以平穩的43%增長。 就像人類善良的牛奶,這種增長增加了公司的韌性,使其更有能力管理債務。 分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要重點關注的地方。 但未來的收益,尤其是將決定Cushman & Wakefield能否維持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看此免費的報告,展示分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Cushman & Wakefield recorded free cash flow of 35% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最後,雖然稅務官可能喜愛會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的一步是查看與實際自由現金流匹配的EBIT比例。查看最近三年,Cushman & Wakefield的自由現金流佔其EBIT的35%,這比我們預期的要弱。這對於償還債務來說並不理想。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Cushman & Wakefield's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of covering its interest expense with its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Cushman & Wakefield's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Cushman & Wakefield (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

坦率地說,Cushman & Wakefield的淨債務與EBITDA比例及其用EBIT覆蓋利息支出的記錄使我們對其債務水平感到相當不安。但好的一面是,其EBIT增長率是一個好的跡象,使我們感到更加樂觀。一旦我們考慮上述所有因素,綜合來看,Cushman & Wakefield的債務似乎讓它有一點風險。這不一定是壞事,但我們通常會覺得槓桿低一些會更加安心。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的債務最多。然而,並不是所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表內——遠非如此。我們已經識別出Cushman & Wakefield的2個警告信號(至少有一個不可忽視),理解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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