Pulling Back 8.2% This Week, FB Financial's NYSE:FBK) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus
Pulling Back 8.2% This Week, FB Financial's NYSE:FBK) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus
These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). For example, the FB Financial Corporation (NYSE:FBK) share price is up 30% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 24% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. However, the longer term returns haven't been so impressive, with the stock up just 19% in the last three years.
如今,簡單地買入一個指數基金是很容易的,你的回報應該(大致上)與市場相匹配。但通過選擇表現優於平均水平的股票(作爲多元化投資組合的一部分),可以獲得更好的回報。例如,FB Financial Corporation(紐交所:FBK)的股價在過去一年上漲了30%,明顯超出了市場回報的約24%(不包括分紅派息)。所以這應該讓股東們感到滿意。但是,從長遠來看,回報並沒有那麼令人印象深刻,股票在過去三年只上漲了19%。
In light of the stock dropping 8.2% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive one-year return.
考慮到該股票在過去一週下跌了8.2%,我們想要調查更長期的故事,看看基本面是否是推動公司正向一年回報的原因。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話說:在短期內,市場像個投票機,但在長期內,它就是個稱重機。檢視市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
Over the last twelve months, FB Financial actually shrank its EPS by 17%.
在過去的十二個月裏,FB Financial的每股收益實際上下降了17%。
This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
這意味着市場不太可能根據盈利增長來評估公司。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化沒有關聯,因此值得關注其他指標。
We doubt the modest 1.3% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. Unfortunately FB Financial's fell 10% over twelve months. So using a snapshot of key business metrics doesn't give us a good picture of why the market is bidding up the stock.
我們懷疑1.3%的分紅派息收益率對支持股價沒有太大作用。 不幸的是,Fb Financial的股價在十二個月內下跌了10%。 所以使用關鍵業務指標的快照並不能很好地說明市場爲何在推高該股票的原因。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的圖像顯示了收益和營業收入隨時間的變化情況(如果點擊圖像,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on FB Financial
值得注意的是,我們在上個季度看到顯著的內部人士購買,這被我們視爲積極因素。 也就是說,我們認爲每股收益和營業收入增長趨勢是更重要的考慮因素。 這份免費的報告顯示分析師的預測,應該可以幫助你對Fb Financial形成看法。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, FB Financial's TSR for the last 1 year was 33%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股價回報,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。 TSR結合了任何拆分或折扣資本籌集的價值,以及任何分紅,假設這些分紅被再投資。因此,對於支付慷慨分紅的公司來說,TSR往往遠高於股價回報。 事實是,Fb Financial在過去一年內的TSR爲33%,這超過了之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上得益於其分紅支付!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that FB Financial shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 33% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 7% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.
很高興看到FB Financial的股東在過去一年中獲得了33%的整體股東回報。這其中包括了分紅派息。這一回報優於過去五年年化7%的回報,意味着公司最近表現更佳。鑑於股票價格的勢頭依然強勁,值得更仔細地審視這隻股票,以免錯失機會。如果你想進一步研究這隻股票,內幕持股的數據是一個顯而易見的開始。你可以點擊這裏查看誰在購買股票以及他們所支付的價格。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).
如果你喜歡與管理層一起買入股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:它們中的大多數都在雷達下飛行)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。