Despite an already strong run, Energy Services of America Corporation (NASDAQ:ESOA) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 36% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 261% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Energy Services of America's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Energy Services industry is similar at about 1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does Energy Services of America's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been advantageous for Energy Services of America as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Keen to find out how analysts think Energy Services of America's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Energy Services of America would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 32% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 176% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 1.3% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 6.3% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.
With this information, we find it concerning that Energy Services of America is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Energy Services of America's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
It appears that Energy Services of America currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the poor revenue outlook tells us one thing, it's that these current price levels could be unsustainable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Energy Services of America (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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