Is Best Buy (NYSE:BBY) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Best Buy (NYSE:BBY) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Best Buy Co., Inc. (NYSE:BBY) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
傳奇基金經理李路(查理·芒格支持的)曾說過:『最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。』所以,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,考慮債務也是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。更重要的問題是:這筆債務帶來了多少風險?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時會變得危險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
當企業無法輕易地通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來履行債務和其他負債時,這些債務和負債就會變得風險很大。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款方可能會接管企業。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須在便宜的股票價格下稀釋股東股份,僅僅是爲了控制債務。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表着廉價資本,尤其是當它替代高回報再投資的公司的稀釋時。考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。
What Is Best Buy's Net Debt?
百思買的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Best Buy had US$1.14b of debt, at November 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$832.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$311.0m.
正如你在下面看到的,截止2024年11月,百思買有11.4億美金的債務,和去年大致相同。你可以點擊圖表查看更多細節。然而,由於其現金儲備爲83200萬美金,淨債務更低,約爲31100萬美金。
How Healthy Is Best Buy's Balance Sheet?
百思買的資產負債表健康嗎?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Best Buy had liabilities of US$9.95b due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.99b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$832.0m in cash and US$932.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$12.2b.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,百思買有99.5億美元的負債將在一年內到期,39.9億美元的負債將在之後到期。抵消這部分負債的是它擁有83200萬美元的現金和93200萬美元的應收款項,這些款項將在12個月內到期。所以它的負債比現金和(短期)應收款的總和多出122億美元。
This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of US$18.7b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Best Buy's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
相對於其187億美元的巨額市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此確實暗示股東應關注百思買對債務的使用。如果貸方要求它改善資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們通過查看公司的淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及計算息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋利息費用的能力(利息保障率),來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力的情況。這種方法的優勢在於,我們同時考慮了債務的絕對量(通過淨債務與EBITDA的比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息費用(通過其利息保障率)。
Best Buy has net debt of just 0.12 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. The good news is that Best Buy has increased its EBIT by 5.7% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Best Buy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
百思買的淨債務僅爲EBITDA的0.12倍,這表明它可以在不費力的情況下提高槓杆。而且令人驚訝的是,儘管存在淨債務,但在過去的十二個月內它實際上獲得的利息收入超過了需要支付的利息。因此毫無疑問,這家公司可以在保持冷靜的情況下承擔債務。好消息是,百思買在過去12個月中EBIT增長了5.7%,這應該能減輕對債務償還的擔憂。我們無疑可以從資產負債表中學習到關於債務的許多知識。但未來的收益,尤其是比其他因素更重要的,將判斷百思買未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會覺得這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Best Buy produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,一項業務需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本不夠。因此,我們顯然需要看看EBIT是否導致相應的自由現金流。在過去三年中,百思買產生了相當於其EBIT的64%的穩健自由現金流,正是我們所期望的。這筆冰冷的現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Happily, Best Buy's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. All these things considered, it appears that Best Buy can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that Best Buy insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.
好消息是,百思買令人印象深刻的利息覆蓋率意味着它在債務方面處於有利地位。 但是,從一個更嚴肅的角度來看,我們對其總負債水平有些擔憂。 考慮到所有這些因素,百思買似乎能夠輕鬆處理其當前的債務水平。 當然,雖然這種槓桿可以提高股本回報,但確實帶來了更大的風險,因此值得關注這一點。 當然,如果我們知道百思買的內部人士正在買入股票,我們也不會拒絕這種額外的信心:如果你有同樣的想法,可以通過點擊這個鏈接查看內部人士是否在買入。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。
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這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。