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Gold Poised For Its Best Year In A Decade While Bitcoin Surges: Analysts Eye 2025 As A Golden Era For Precious Metal Amid Michael Saylor's Push For BTC As A Reserve Asset

Gold Poised For Its Best Year In A Decade While Bitcoin Surges: Analysts Eye 2025 As A Golden Era For Precious Metal Amid Michael Saylor's Push For BTC As A Reserve Asset

黃金有望迎來十年來的最佳年份,而比特幣暴漲:分析師預計2025年將是黃金時代,邁克爾·塞勒推動比特幣作爲儲備資產。
Benzinga ·  2024/12/16 08:03

Analysts predict a good year for gold in 2025 after it's poised for the best annual performance in over a decade in 2024. However, Michael Saylor, co-founder and executive chairman of MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR), has called for a dramatic shift in U.S. economic strategy, urging the country to abandon gold as a reserve asset in favor of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC).

分析師預測2025年黃金將迎來良好的一年,預計在2024年將獲得十多年以來最佳的年度表現。然而,MicroStrategy Inc.(NASDAQ:MSTR)的聯合創始人兼執行主席Michael Saylor呼籲美國經濟策略發生戲劇性轉變,敦促國家放棄黃金作爲儲備資產,轉而支持比特幣(CRYPTO: BTC)。

What Happened: The World Gold Council in its 2025 outlook has outlined three scenarios for the precious metal in the upcoming year. According to them, gold will "remain rangebound" if existing market expectations are correct.

發生了什麼:世界黃金協會在其2025年展望中勾勒了未來一年該貴金屬的三種情景。根據他們的說法,如果現有的市場預期是正確的,黃金將「保持區間震盪」。

Explaining its rationale for the rangebound assertion, the council notes that "a combination of higher rates and lower economic growth could negatively affect investors and consumers."

解釋其區間震盪的理由時,協會指出,「更高的利率和更低的經濟增長的結合可能會對投資者和消費者產生負面影響。」

On the flip side, "significantly lower interest rates or a deterioration in geopolitics or market conditions will improve gold's performance."

另一方面,「利率顯著降低或地緣政治或市場條件惡化將改善黃金的表現。」

JPMorgan has said that it expects gold prices to "find continued support from central banks, particularly in emerging markets. Critically, gold—the original safe-haven asset—can serve as an attractive hedge against both geopolitical risk and uncertainty around sovereign debt and deficits."

摩根大通表示,預計黃金價格將「繼續受到中央銀行,特別是新興市場的壓力位支持。重要的是,黃金——原始的避險資產——可以作爲對地緣政治風險以及主權債務和赤字的不確定性的吸引人對沖。」

Goldman Sachs, on the other hand, forecasts gold prices will reach $2,700 by early next year, "buoyed by interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and gold purchases by emerging market central banks. The metal could get an additional boost if the U.S. imposes new financial sanctions or if concerns mount about the U.S. debt burden."

高盛則預測,黃金價格將在明年初達到2700美元,「受到聯儲局減息和新興市場中央銀行購買黃金的提振。如果美國實施新的金融制裁或對美國債務負擔的擔憂加劇,金屬價格可能會獲得額外的提振。」

Bitcoin Bulls Disagree

比特幣牛市有異議

Despite a largely positive outlook for gold in 2025, few Bitcoin bulls think differently. Speaking on an episode of the Galaxy Brains podcast, Saylor labeled gold as a "shiny dead rock."

儘管對2025年黃金的整體前景樂觀,但很少有比特幣牛市有不同看法。在Galaxy Brains播客的一集節目中,Saylor將黃金稱爲「閃亮的死石頭。」

"If you want to elevate the U.S.'s economic leadership in the world, there are two very simple strategies," Saylor said. "Dump the gold and buy Bitcoin."

"如果你想提高美國在世界上的經濟領導地位,有兩個非常簡單的策略,"Saylor說,"拋售黃金,買入比特幣。"

He suggested that replacing gold with Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset would allow the U.S. to demonetize gold—an asset heavily held by rival nations—and capitalize on Bitcoin's growth potential.

他建議用比特幣替代黃金作爲戰略儲備資產,這將使美國能夠去貨幣化黃金——這一由競爭對手國家大量持有的資產——並利用比特幣的增長潛力。

Price Action: Gold spot prices have risen by 28.63% year-to-date, according to Benzinga Pro data. This is gold's best performance since 2007 when gold surged by over 31%.

價格走勢:根據Benzinga Pro的數據,黃金現貨價格今年上漲了28.63%。這是自2007年以來黃金錶現最佳的一年,當時黃金上漲超過31%。

Here's how a few other gold ETFs have performed this year.

以下是其他幾個黃金ETF今年的表現。

ETFs YTD Performance
Franklin Responsibly Sourced Gold ETF (NYSE:FGDL) 29.07%
iShares Gold Trust Micro (NYSE:IAUM) 28.52%
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (NYSE:GLDM) 28.55%
Aberdeen Physical Gold Shares ETF (NYSE:SGOL) 28.46%
etf 今年迄今表現
富蘭克林負責任來源黃金ETF(紐交所:FGDL) 29.07%
iShares 黃金 Trust Micro (紐交所:IAUM) 28.52%
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (紐交所:GLDM) 28.55%
阿伯丁實物黃金股票 ETF (紐交所:SGOL) 28.46%
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In comparison, Bitcoin ETFs have surged over four times during the same period.

相比之下,比特幣 ETF 在同一時期內激增了四倍以上。

ETF YTD Performance
Franklin Responsibly Sourced Gold ETF (NYSE:FBTC) 138.83%
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust (NYSE:BITC) 123.13%
可交易ETF 今年迄今表現
富蘭克林負責任採購黃金ETF (紐交所:FBTC) 138.83%
灰度比特幣迷你Trust (紐交所:BITC) 123.13%
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Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

照片提供:shutterstock

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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