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Is Confluent (NASDAQ:CFLT) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Confluent (NASDAQ:CFLT) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Confluent(納斯達克:CFLT)是否在以風險較大的方式使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  12/15 21:44

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Confluent, Inc. (NASDAQ:CFLT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由巴菲特的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李魯直言不諱地表示:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。」 所以當你考慮任何股票的風險時,考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司沉沒。我們注意到,Confluent, Inc.(納斯達克:CFLT)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但這對於股東來說是個問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆還款時才成爲真正的問題,無論是通過融資還是通過自身現金流。如果情況真的變得很糟,貸款人可以控制業務。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們常看到負債公司由於貸款人的迫使,永久性地稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以困境價格融資。當然,債務的好處在於,特別是在替代 dilution 的公司有能力以高回報率進行再投資時,它往往代表了廉價資本。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首要任務是查看其現金與債務的狀況。

What Is Confluent's Net Debt?

Confluent的淨債務是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Confluent had US$1.09b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$1.86b in cash, so it actually has US$768.3m net cash.

下面的圖表可以點擊以獲取更多詳細信息,顯示Confluent在2024年9月的債務爲10.9億美金;與前一年大致相同。然而,其資產負債表顯示它持有18.6億美金的現金,因此它實際上擁有76830萬美金的淨現金。

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NasdaqGS:CFLT Debt to Equity History December 15th 2024
納斯達克GS:CFLT債務與股本歷史 2024年12月15日

A Look At Confluent's Liabilities

深入了解Confluent的負債情況

According to the last reported balance sheet, Confluent had liabilities of US$535.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.14b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$1.86b in cash and US$278.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$464.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最新的資產負債表,Confluent在12個月內的負債爲53500萬美元,超過12個月的負債爲11.4億美元。抵消這些負債的是其在現金方面擁有的18.6億美元和27870萬美元的應收賬款,這些應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它可以自豪地說,其流動資產比總負債多46450萬美元。

This surplus suggests that Confluent has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Confluent boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Confluent can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這一盈餘表明,Confluent的資產負債表保守,可能毫不費力地消除其債務。簡單來說,Confluent自豪地擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點。但歸根結底,業務的未來盈利能力將決定Confluent能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。

Over 12 months, Confluent reported revenue of US$916m, which is a gain of 25%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

在過去的12個月裏,Confluent報告的營業收入爲91600萬美元,增長了25%,儘管它並未報告任何利息和稅前利潤。股東們可能寄希望於它能夠通過增長實現盈利。

So How Risky Is Confluent?

那麼Confluent有多風險?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Confluent lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$13m and booked a US$351m accounting loss. But the saving grace is the US$768.3m on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Confluent may be on a path to profitability. By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Confluent , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我們毫不懷疑,虧損的公司在一般情況下比盈利的公司風險更大。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,Confluent在利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)方面虧損。在同一期間,它還經歷了負的自由現金流出1300萬美元,並記錄了35100萬美元的會計損失。但值得慶幸的是,其資產負債表上有76830萬美元。這意味着它可以在當前的支出速度下維持兩年以上。隨着去年收入的穩定增長,Confluent可能正走向盈利。通過在盈利之前投資,股東們承擔了更大的風險,希望能獲得更大的回報。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解大部分關於債務的信息。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。我們已識別出Confluent的3個警示信號,理解這些應成爲你投資過程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來發現我們獨家的淨現金成長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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