Johnson Controls International (NYSE:JCI) Shareholders Have Earned a 18% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
Johnson Controls International (NYSE:JCI) Shareholders Have Earned a 18% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. For instance, the price of Johnson Controls International plc (NYSE:JCI) stock is up an impressive 104% over the last five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 15% gain in the last three months. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 9.0% in the last three months.
在購買某公司的股票後,最糟糕的結果(假設沒有槓桿)就是你投入的所有資金都損失殆盡。但好的一面是,你可以在真的很好的股票上獲利超過100%。例如,江森自控國際公司(紐交所:JCI)的股票在過去五年中上漲了令人印象深刻的104%。同時,股東們也感到高興,因爲在過去三個月中股價上漲了15%。但這可能與強勁的市場有關,過去三個月市場上漲了9.0%。
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
鑑於此,值得看看該公司的基本面是否一直是長期業績的驅動因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之處。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
在他的文章《Graham-and-Doddsville超級投資者》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性反映業務價值的情況。一個有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
Over half a decade, Johnson Controls International managed to grow its earnings per share at 11% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 15% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
在過去的五年中,江森自控國際公司每股收益以每年11%的速度增長。這一每股收益的增長低於股價每年15%的平均增幅。這表明市場參與者現在對公司有更高的評價。這一點並不令人驚訝,因爲公司的增長記錄是相當不錯的。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到EPS如何隨時間變化(點擊圖片可以發現具體數值)。
This free interactive report on Johnson Controls International's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
這份關於江森自控國際的營業收入、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的開始,如果你想進一步調查這隻股票。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Johnson Controls International, it has a TSR of 128% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報(TSR)與股價回報之間的差異。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR則包括分紅的價值(假設這些分紅被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的好處。因此,對於支付豐厚分紅的公司來說,TSR通常遠高於股價回報。以江森自控國際爲例,其過去5年的TSR爲128%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。公司支付的分紅因此提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's good to see that Johnson Controls International has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 58% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 18%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Johnson Controls International .
很高興看到江森自控國際在過去十二個月中給股東帶來了58%的總股東回報。這其中還包括分紅。這一收益比五年來的年均TSR18%還要好。因此,近期對公司的情緒似乎是積極的。考慮到股價勢頭持續強勁,可能值得仔細看看這隻股票,以免錯過機會。我發現從長遠來看觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理是非常有趣的。但要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,您應該注意我們發現的江森自控國際的3個警告信號。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一樣,那麼你一定不想錯過這份內部人士正在購買的被低估的小型股免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。