Is Gambling.com Group (NASDAQ:GAMB) A Risky Investment?
Is Gambling.com Group (NASDAQ:GAMB) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Gambling.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:GAMB) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李魯毫不掩飾地表示:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。」 當你審視一家公司的風險時,自然會考慮其資產負債表,因爲一旦業務崩潰,債務往往是相關的。 重要的是,Gambling.com集團有限公司(納斯達克:GAMB)確實揹負債務。 但更重要的問題是:這種債務帶來了多大的風險?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務帶來風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債變得風險很大,無論是通過自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格融資。 資本主義的一個重要組成部分是『創造性破壞』的過程,失敗的企業會被其銀行無情清算。 然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須在低廉的股價下稀釋股東股份,以便僅僅控制債務。 當然,很多公司使用債務來資助增長,並沒有任何負面後果。 考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務一併考慮。
What Is Gambling.com Group's Debt?
Gambling.com集團的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Gambling.com Group had debt of US$24.4m, up from none in one year. On the flip side, it has US$15.9m in cash leading to net debt of about US$8.53m.
下面的圖像可以點擊以獲取更詳細的信息,顯示到2024年9月Gambling.com集團的債務爲2440萬美元,較一年前沒有增長。 相對而言,它有1590萬美元的現金,導致淨債務約爲853萬美元。
How Healthy Is Gambling.com Group's Balance Sheet?
Gambling.com集團的資產負債表健康嗎?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Gambling.com Group had liabilities of US$35.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$28.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$15.9m and US$18.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$28.7m.
仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到Gambling.com集團有債務3530萬美元,12個月內到期,還有債務2800萬美元,超出這一期限。此外,它有現金1590萬美元和1860萬美元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,其債務超出了現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和2870萬美元。
Given Gambling.com Group has a market capitalization of US$465.5m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
鑑於Gambling.com集團的市值爲46550萬美元,很難相信這些債務構成太大威脅。然而,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的強度,因爲它可能會隨着時間而變化。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們使用兩個主要指標來告知我們債務水平與盈利的關係。第一個是淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,而第二個是其息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用(或其利息覆蓋,簡稱)。這種方法的優點在於我們考慮了債務的絕對數量(通過淨債務與EBITDA比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息費用(通過其利息覆蓋比率)。
Gambling.com Group has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.23. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 46.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Gambling.com Group has boosted its EBIT by 41%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Gambling.com Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Gambling.com集團的淨債務與EBITDA的比率僅爲0.23。而且其EBIT覆蓋利息費用的倍數高達46.2倍。所以你可以說它的債務對它的威脅不比大象對老鼠的威脅大。此外,我們很高興地報告Gambling.com集團的EBIT增長了41%,因此減少了未來債務償還的隱憂。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定Gambling.com集團是否能隨着時間的推移增強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Gambling.com Group's free cash flow amounted to 23% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
最後,雖然稅務機關可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸方只接受冷冰冰的現金。因此,邏輯的步驟是查看EBIT與實際自由現金流的比例。在過去三年中,Gambling.com集團的自由現金流佔其EBIT的23%,低於我們的預期。這種微弱的現金轉化使其更難以處理債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Happily, Gambling.com Group's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Gambling.com Group's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Gambling.com Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
值得慶幸的是,Gambling.com集團出色的利息覆蓋率意味着它在債務方面佔據優勢。但從更嚴肅的角度來看,我們對其EBIT轉化爲自由現金流感到有些擔憂。整體來看,我們認爲Gambling.com集團的債務使用相當合理,我們對此並不擔心。畢竟,合理的槓桿可以提升股本回報。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的信息最多。但最終,每家公司都可能包含資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,Gambling.com集團有1個我們認爲您應該注意的警告信號。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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