Is TechnipFMC (NYSE:FTI) Using Too Much Debt?
Is TechnipFMC (NYSE:FTI) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, TechnipFMC plc (NYSE:FTI) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍華德·馬克斯很恰當地說,『我擔心的風險是永久性損失的可能性……而我認識的每一位實用投資者也在擔心這一點。』所以,聰明的錢知道,債務——通常涉及破產——在評估一家公司風險時是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,德希尼布FMC plc(紐交所:FTI)確實揹負着債務。但是,更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多少風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
當企業無法輕鬆履行債務及其他負債的義務時,這些負債就變得危險,可能無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來解決。最終,如果公司無法履行其償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們確實常看到負債累累的公司因債權人迫使其以受損價格籌集資金而永久性地稀釋股東權益。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表着廉價資本,特別是當它替代了能夠以高回報率再投資的公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司的債務使用時,我們首先看現金和債務的綜合情況。
How Much Debt Does TechnipFMC Carry?
德希尼布FMC承擔了多少債務?
As you can see below, TechnipFMC had US$966.7m of debt at September 2024, down from US$1.34b a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$862.8m in cash leading to net debt of about US$103.9m.
正如您下面看到的,德希尼布FMC在2024年9月的債務爲96670萬美元,較一年前的13.4億美元減少。另一方面,它擁有86280萬美元的現金,導致淨債務約爲10390萬美元。
How Strong Is TechnipFMC's Balance Sheet?
德希尼布FMC的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that TechnipFMC had liabilities of US$4.56b due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.86b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$862.8m in cash and US$2.72b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.84b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,德希尼布FMC的負債爲45.6億美金,且一年內到期的負債爲18.6億美金。抵消這些負債後,它有86280萬美元的現金和27.2億美金的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額超過其現金和短期應收賬款的總和達到28.4億美金。
TechnipFMC has a very large market capitalization of US$13.2b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Carrying virtually no net debt, TechnipFMC has a very light debt load indeed.
德希尼布FMC的市值非常大,達到132億美金,因此如果需要,可能很容易籌集現金來改善其資產負債表。然而,仔細觀察其償還債務的能力仍然是值得的。幾乎沒有淨債務,德希尼布FMC實際上負債非常輕。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我們通過看淨債務與息稅折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)如何輕鬆地覆蓋利息費用(利息覆蓋)來衡量一家公司相對於其獲利能力的債務負擔。這樣,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量,也考慮了其支付的利率。
TechnipFMC has very modest net debt, giving rise to a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.077. And EBIT easily covered the interest expense 9.2 times over, lending force to that view. Even more impressive was the fact that TechnipFMC grew its EBIT by 102% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine TechnipFMC's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
德希尼布FMC的淨債務非常低,導致債務與EBITDA的比率爲0.077。而EBIT則輕鬆地覆蓋了93倍的利息支出,這進一步加強了這一觀點。更令人印象深刻的是,德希尼布FMC的EBIT在十二個月內增長了102%。這一提升將使其未來償還債務變得更加容易。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點關注的領域。但未來的收益,更多地決定了德希尼布FMC未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, TechnipFMC recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 89% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本不夠。因此我們總是檢查EBIT有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去三年中,德希尼布FMC記錄的自由現金流佔其EBIT的89%,這比我們通常的預期要強。這使得其在需要時能夠很好的償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
The good news is that TechnipFMC's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that TechnipFMC is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. Another factor that would give us confidence in TechnipFMC would be if insiders have been buying shares: if you're conscious of that signal too, you can find out instantly by clicking this link.
好消息是,德希尼布FMC展現出將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力,讓我們如同小狗取悅幼兒般感到高興。而這只是好消息的開始,因爲其EBIt增長率也非常令人振奮。考慮到這一系列因素,我們認爲德希尼布FMC在債務管理上相當謹慎,風險似乎管理得很好。因此,我們對資產負債表上的少量槓桿使用並不感到擔憂。另一個能增強我們對德希尼布FMC信心的因素是內部人士是否在買入股票:如果您也意識到這一信號,可以通過點擊此鏈接立即了解。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。
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