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With Rates Falling, Don't Fight the Bank of Canada: Buy These Stocks Instead

With Rates Falling, Don't Fight the Bank of Canada: Buy These Stocks Instead

隨着利率下降,不要與加拿大銀行抗衡:買入這些股票。
The Motley Fool ·  12/13 09:30

I'm writing this on Wednesday, December 11, which happens to be the date the Bank of Canada just announced its latest jumbo 50-basis-point (0.5%) interest rate cut. This cut brings the overnight lending rate banks typically lend to each other at 3.75%, which is much lower than where the U.S. overnight Fed Funds rate currently sits.

我在2023年12月11日星期三寫這篇文章,這恰好是加拿大皇家銀行剛剛宣佈最新的珍寶50點子(0.5%)利率期貨削減的日期。此次削減使銀行之間的隔夜借貸利率降至3.75%,遠低於美國目前的隔夜聯邦基金利率。

While many have expected these lower rates to spur demand, the Canadian economy continues to see relatively slow growth, so more rate cuts could be on the horizon. Indeed, until this trajectory of cuts wanes, investors should probably take the central bank at their word that the normalization trend will likely continue.

雖然許多人預期這些較低的利率會刺激需求,但加拿大經濟仍然呈現相對緩慢的增長,因此更多的利率削減可能在未來。的確,在這種削減趨勢減弱之前,投資者應該相信中央銀行所說的正常化趨勢可能會繼續。

If that's the case, it's best not to fight the Bank of Canada on this one. Here are two top stocks I think are worth considering if you're one of the many investors who want to bet on lower interest rates in Canada moving forward.

如果是這樣,最好不要與加拿大皇家銀行對抗。以下是我認爲值得考慮的兩隻頂級股票,如果你是其中許多想要在未來押注於加拿大低利率的投資者之一。

Canadian Apartment Properties REIT

加拿大公寓物業信託

Canadian Apartment Properties REIT (TSX:CAR.UN) is one of Canada's largest residential real estate investment trusts (REITs). The trust manages a diversified portfolio of rental apartments, townhomes, and manufactured housing communities across Canada, providing housing to a Canadian market that's seen strong population growth in recent years, largely due to the country's immigration policies.

加拿大公寓物業信託(TSX:CAR.UN)是加拿大最大的住宅房地產投資信託之一。該信託管理一個多元化的租賃公寓、聯排別墅和製造住房社區投資組合,遍佈全加,爲一個因移民政策近年來見證強勁人口增長的加拿大市場提供住房。

Immigration and urbanization continue to dominate the discussion around catalysts for the housing sector. However, interest rates also matter a great deal when it comes to how properties are valued, and the extent of rent increases can be pushed forward. With the Canadian consumer still largely bogged down by debt, continued interest rate cuts should push disposable income higher, leading to less in the way of delinquencies and improving the overall growth profile of REITs moving forward.

移民和城市化繼續主導着圍繞住房板塊催化劑的討論。然而,利率在物業估值及租金增長的程度上也起着至關重要的作用。隨着加拿大消費者仍然受到債務的困擾,持續的利率削減應該會提高可支配收入,從而減少違約,改善信託未來的整體增長前景。

I think CAP REIT is an interesting option to consider in this space, due to the trust's focus on residential real estate. Given the underlying secular growth factors I previously mentioned, this is a REIT that's uniquely exposed to some very strong growth trends I think should benefit investors who may be worried about a repeat of inflation picking up in a lower interest rate environment.

我認爲CAP信託是一個值得考慮的有趣選擇,因爲該信託專注於住宅房地產。鑑於我之前提到的基礎性長期增長因素,這是一個在某些強勁增長趨勢中獨特暴露的信託,我認爲這應該對擔心低利率環境下再次通脹上升的投資者有利益。

We'll have to see how the whole inflation and growth discussion plays out in the Canadian market. But with a dividend yield of 3.4% and a share price that's been beaten down of late, this is a top rebound play I've got on my radar for the rest of the year.

我們需要看看加拿大全國市場上通貨膨脹和增長的討論如何展開。但是,考慮到3.4%的股息收益率和近期股價的下跌,這是我在雷達上關注的一個重要反彈機會,預計在今年剩餘時間內表現不錯。

Royal Bank of Canada

加拿大皇家銀行

Among its peers, few banks are as massive and reliable as Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY). The leading financial institution in Canada (and one of the largest banks in the world), Royal Bank remains a top option many long-term investors continue to look at in the Canadian market.

在同行中,很少有銀行像加拿大皇家銀行(TSX:RY)那樣龐大且可靠。這是加拿大領先的金融機構(也是全球最大的銀行之一),加拿大皇家銀行依然是許多長期投資者在加拿大全國市場繼續關注的首選。

Indeed, I think it makes sense that Royal Bank is widely considered to be a cornerstone investment for anyone seeking stability and growth within a diversified business model, including personal banking, wealth management, and capital markets.

事實上,我認爲加拿大皇家銀行被廣泛認爲是任何尋求穩定和增長的投資者的核心投資是有道理的,特別是在包括個人銀行、财富管理和資本市場的多元化業務模型中。

As the Bank of Canada changes interest rates, widened interest margins often benefit banks such as Royal Bank of Canada. Higher interest can increase the profitability of lending and boost earnings. Moreover, the bank's business is not simply a conventional bank. Wealth management and insurance segments are considerable revenue generators and help reduce dependence on interest income and give a cushion during difficult economic times.

隨着加拿大銀行調整利率,擴大的利差通常會使像加拿大皇家銀行這樣的銀行受益。更高的利率可以提高放貸的盈利能力,並提升收入。此外,該銀行的業務並不僅僅是傳統銀行業務。财富管理和保險部門是重要的營業收入來源,有助於減少對利息收入的依賴,並在經濟困難時期提供緩衝。

While being headquartered in Canada, Royal Bank of Canada is increasingly internationalizing its operations, especially in the U.S. and Europe. Diversification on the geographic dimension mitigates some risks arising from an economic slowdown domestically. It is marked by a long history of uninterrupted dividend payments and has had consistent dividend growth. The 3.25% dividend yield that it offers attracts income-seeking investors.

儘管總部位於加拿大,加拿大皇家銀行正逐漸將運營國際化,尤其是在美國和歐洲。地理上的多樣化減輕了因國內經濟放緩而帶來的某些風險。它以長期持續的股息支付歷史而聞名,並且股息增長保持穩定。它提供的3.25%股息收益率吸引了尋求收入的投資者。

Furthermore, the bank continues to invest in digital transformation, ensuring that the customer experience is seamless through advanced mobile and online solutions. In doing so, it bodes well for future business growth while furthering the pleasure of its customers.

此外,該銀行繼續投資於數字化轉型,確保客戶體驗通過愛文思控股的移動和在線解決方案實現無縫連接。從而爲未來的業務增長帶來積極影響,同時進一步提升客戶的滿意度。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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