The Total Return for Arthur J. Gallagher (NYSE:AJG) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years
The Total Return for Arthur J. Gallagher (NYSE:AJG) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. For instance, the price of Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (NYSE:AJG) stock is up an impressive 200% over the last five years. Unfortunately, though, the stock has dropped 7.7% over a week. However, this might be related to the overall market decline of 0.2% in a week.
購買一家公司的股票後,最糟糕的結果(假設沒有槓桿)就是你失去所有投入的資金。但是從積極的一面來看,你在一隻真正好的股票上可以獲得超過100%的回報。例如,亞瑟加拉格爾(NYSE:AJG)股票在過去五年中上漲了令人印象深刻的200%。不幸的是,這隻股票在一週內下跌了7.7%。然而,這可能與你在一週內整體市場下跌0.2%有關。
While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.
雖然上週的表現影響了公司五年的回報,但讓我們看看基礎業務的最新趨勢,看看收益是否與之相符。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
在他的文章《Graham-and-Doddsville超級投資者》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性反映業務價值的情況。一個有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
Over half a decade, Arthur J. Gallagher managed to grow its earnings per share at 7.5% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 25% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth. This favorable sentiment is reflected in its (fairly optimistic) P/E ratio of 53.09.
在過去五年中,亞瑟加拉格爾每年的每股收益增長了7.5%。這個每股收益的增長低於股價每年平均25%的上漲。這表明市場參與者對公司如今更加看好。而考慮到其增長的業績記錄,這一點也並不令人驚訝。這種積極的情緒反映在其(相當樂觀的)市盈率53.09上。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到EPS如何隨時間變化(點擊圖片可以發現具體數值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在買入或賣出股票之前,我們總是建議仔細審查歷史增長趨勢,詳情請見這裏。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Arthur J. Gallagher, it has a TSR of 219% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考慮任何股票的總股東回報以及股價回報是很重要的。總股東回報(TSR)是一個回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何折扣融資和拆分的計算價值。可以說,TSR提供了股票回報的更全面的視圖。在亞瑟加拉格爾的案例中,過去5年其TSR爲219%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Arthur J. Gallagher shareholders are up 17% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 26% over five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Arthur J. Gallagher is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
亞瑟加拉格爾的股東在今年上漲了17%(即使包括分紅)。但是這個回報仍然落後於市場。這可能是一個好的信號,表明公司在長期內有更好的業績,過去五年爲股東提供了26%的年化TSR。也許股價只是暫時喘口氣,而業務正在執行其增長策略。雖然值得考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響,但還有其他因素更爲重要。即便如此,要注意亞瑟加拉格爾在我們的投資分析中顯示出2個警告信號,您應該知曉...
But note: Arthur J. Gallagher may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:亞瑟加拉格爾可能不是最佳買入股票。因此,請查看這份免費名單,其中包含過去盈利增長(和未來增長預測)有趣的公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。