TransDigm Group (NYSE:TDG) Sheds 4.7% This Week, as Yearly Returns Fall More in Line With Earnings Growth
TransDigm Group (NYSE:TDG) Sheds 4.7% This Week, as Yearly Returns Fall More in Line With Earnings Growth
The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. Long term TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE:TDG) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 120% in five years. On the other hand, we note it's down 9.3% in about a month.
在任何股票上(假設您不使用槓桿),您可能損失的最多是您資金的100%。 但從積極的一面看,您可以在一隻非常優秀的股票上賺取遠超過100%的收益。 長揸TransDigm Group Incorporated(紐交所:TDG)的股東對此應該非常了解,因爲該股票在五年內上漲了120%。 另一方面,我們注意到它在大約一個月內下跌了9.3%。
While the stock has fallen 4.7% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
儘管該股票本週下跌了4.7%,但值得關注更長期的表現,看看股票的歷史回報是否是由基本面驅動的。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的話說:'船隻將航行世界,但平面地球協會將繁榮發展。市場上價格與價值之間的差異將繼續存在...' 一種不完美但簡單的方式來考慮市場對一家公司的看法如何變化,就是比較每股收益(每股收益)與股票價格變動的變化。
During five years of share price growth, TransDigm Group achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 15% per year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 17% per year. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.
在五年的股價增長期間,TransDigm Group實現了每股收益(EPS)年均增長15%。 因此,每股收益的增長率與年化股價增長17%非常接近。 因此,可以得出結論,市場對該股的情緒並沒有發生太大變化。 相反,股價大致跟隨了每股收益的增長。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的圖像中查看每股收益隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看確切值)。
It is of course excellent to see how TransDigm Group has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
看到TransDigm集團多年來利潤的增長當然是非常好的,但未來對股東來說更爲重要。您可以在這個免費的互動圖形中看到其資產負債表隨時間的增強(或減弱)。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of TransDigm Group, it has a TSR of 162% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報和股價回報都是很重要的。總股東回報含括了任何分拆或折扣資本募集的價值,以及任何分紅,基於分紅再投資的假設。可以說,總股東回報提供了更全面的股票回報圖景。以TransDigm集團爲例,過去5年其總股東回報爲162%。這超出了我們之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
TransDigm Group shareholders have received returns of 30% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. That gain looks pretty satisfying, and it is even better than the five-year TSR of 21% per year. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - TransDigm Group has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
TransDigm集團的股東在過去12個月中獲得了30%的回報(甚至包括分紅),這與一般市場回報相差不遠。這個收益看起來令人滿意,甚至比每年21%的五年總股東回報要好。即使股價增長從這裏放緩,仍然有很大機會認爲這是一個值得在長期內關注的業務。我發現從長期來看觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如風險——TransDigm集團有3個警告信號(以及2個讓人有點擔憂的信號)我們認爲您應該了解。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你更傾向於查看其他公司——一個財務狀況可能更優的公司——那麼不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,它們已經證明能夠實現盈利增長。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。